May 2017
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2017 Atlantic hurricane season forecast to be released from NOAA tomorrow, other forecast updates also to be released soon
Tomorrow, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) is expected to release their official 2017 forecasts for both the Atlantic and East…
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Accumulated Cyclone Energy: What it is, How it is Calculated, and How it Determines Seasonal Activity
As we approach the start of Atlantic hurricane season, a term you may see pop up now and then is “Accumulated Cyclone…
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Models Drop Tropical Development in East Pacific and Caribbean
Sunday’s model runs of the GFS and ECMWF have nearly abandoned the idea of tropical development in the East Pacific or Caribbean.…
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Tropics could awaken soon, but models disagree where
The tropics may not be quiet for much longer. Some tropical development is possible next week, but models are not in agreement…
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A history of May tropical cyclones in the Atlantic
While not officially part of Atlantic hurricane season, May has seen plenty of tropical cyclones over the years. According to NOAA, the…
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A look at the Atlantic: May 19, 2017
Sea surface temperatures in the Atlantic are slowly warming up, while wind shear is slowly decreasing. The Atlantic basin is not quite…
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My visit to the NHC Hurricane Awareness Tour
On Wednesday, May 10, I was fortunate enough to get a chance to visit the National Hurricane Center’s Hurricane Awareness Tour at…
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Tropical Atlantic, East Pacific likely to be quiet for a while
The tropics in the Atlantic and East Pacific are likely to remain quiet for the next week or two. Don’t expect the…
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ECMWF May climate forecast update is in, still showing El Niño but shows a less hostile tropical Atlantic than previous runs
Each month, the European Center for Medium Range Weather Forecasting (ECMWF) runs a climate model to predict temperature and rainfall trends throughout…
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My 2017 Atlantic hurricane season forecast
Welcome to Cyclonic Fury’s Daily Blog! From now until the end of November, I will add a blog post nearly every day…
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