Tropical Depression One-E has degenerated into a remnant low, but there is already  another system in the tropics to watch over the coming days. An upper-level low pressure system is expected to reach the northeastern Gulf of Mexico, and has the potential to gain some tropical or subtropical characteristics before moving inland into the Northern Gulf Coast late Tuesday. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) has not yet mentioned this system in a Special Tropical Weather Outlook (STWO).

The 12z Saturday ECMWF and 12z Saturday GFS models both did not predict significant development of this system, however, the overnight 00z runs were more bullish. The 12z Saturday UKMET model run also did not show significant development. Environmental conditions are only marginally favorable for development. Sea surface temperatures are expected to be marginal, about 25°C (77°F). Wind shear is expected to be moderate, but not low enough for significant development. It is likely that a weak low pressure system will form, but the chances of development into a subtropical or tropical cyclone appear fairly low at this time. Regardless of development, heavy rains are likely throughout Florida and parts of the Southeastern United States into the middle of next week.

I will be back with another update on this system tomorrow.