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Month: July 2018

Beryl opens up into a wave, Chris expected to become a hurricane along the Gulf Stream

Beryl opens up into a wave, Chris expected to become a hurricane along the Gulf Stream

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The unusually active July in the Atlantic basin continues. While Tropical Storm Beryl has degenerated into a tropical wave, it could regenerate east of the Bahamas by late next week. In addition to Beryl is recently named Tropical Storm Chris, which should intensify into a hurricane by Tuesday as it moves little, and then eventually northeastward along the Gulf Stream. If Chris intensifies into a hurricane as expected, the Atlantic will have two hurricanes form in the month of July…

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Beryl falls apart, Tropical Depression Three expected to remain offshore and strengthen

Beryl falls apart, Tropical Depression Three expected to remain offshore and strengthen

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For the first time since 2011, the Atlantic basin has two tropical cyclones active at once in the month of July. Tiny Beryl, which was a hurricane yesterday, has quickly weakened today, and is now a poorly organized tropical storm with little deep convection remaining. This is good news for the Lesser Antilles, as Beryl is likely to remain weak when it passes the island instead of the potential hurricane predicted yesterday. In the western Atlantic, Tropical Depression Three is…

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Tiny Beryl rapidly intensifies into a hurricane, likely to impact the Leeward Islands, 96L likely to develop off the U.S. East Coast

Tiny Beryl rapidly intensifies into a hurricane, likely to impact the Leeward Islands, 96L likely to develop off the U.S. East Coast

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With the eastern Pacific quieting down, the Atlantic basin has become active, with Tropical Depression Two forming over the tropical Atlantic yesterday. The depression rapidly intensified into a tropical storm quickly after formation, and is now a Category 1 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale (SSHWS). Beryl is a tiny hurricane over the tropical Atlantic, and is likely to impact the Lesser Antilles as at least a tropical storm on Sunday night. In addition to Beryl, Invest 96L over…

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Tropical Depression Two forms over the deep tropical Atlantic, Fabio now a tropical storm over the eastern Pacific

Tropical Depression Two forms over the deep tropical Atlantic, Fabio now a tropical storm over the eastern Pacific

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The tropical wave over the central tropical Atlantic has acquired a small, closed circulation, and has maintained persistent deep convection for some time now. As a result, the National Hurricane Center (NHC) issued advisories on Tropical Depression Two. The depression may strengthen into Tropical Storm Beryl during the next day or two before encountering strong wind shear as it approaches the Lesser Antilles. In the eastern Pacific, Fabio is quickly weakening and is now a tropical storm. Tropical Depression Two…

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Fabio a Category 2 hurricane, two areas to watch in the Atlantic

Fabio a Category 2 hurricane, two areas to watch in the Atlantic

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Over the open eastern Pacific, Hurricane Fabio is likely peaking in intensity as a high-end Category 2 hurricane. A weakening trend is likely to commence for Fabio on Wednesday. The quiet period over the Atlantic basin is likely to end, with two disturbances with a chance of development over the next five days. The first, an area of disturbed weather near Bermuda, could gradually acquire some tropical characteristics later this week over the subtropical western Atlantic. The second – a…

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Fabio becomes a hurricane, low chance of weak development in the northern Gulf of Mexico

Fabio becomes a hurricane, low chance of weak development in the northern Gulf of Mexico

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Tropical Storm Fabio over the eastern Pacific has intensified into the third hurricane of the 2018 Pacific hurricane season today. An eye-like feature has recently become visible in satellite imagery, and Fabio could still become a major hurricane before reaching cooler waters later this week. Fabio is no threat to land. In the Atlantic, a surface trough is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the Northern Gulf of Mexico, but development into a tropical cyclone appears unlikely at this time….

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Emilia almost a remnant low, TS Fabio expected to rapidly intensify

Emilia almost a remnant low, TS Fabio expected to rapidly intensify

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Today is the first day of July, and the eastern Pacific basin remains active. While Tropical Depression Emilia is barely hanging on to tropical depression status, Tropical Storm Fabio, which formed yesterday to the east of Emilia, is expected to rapidly intensify into a major hurricane. Neither storm poses a threat to land, but Fabio could reach Category 4 status over the open Pacific waters in about two days. As of 2:00 p.m. PDT (5:00 p.m. EDT) Sunday, Tropical Depression…

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