Category 2 Hurricane Jerry expected to pass north of the Leeward Islands
Tropical Storm Jerry quickly intensified on Thursday to become a Category 2 hurricane over the western tropical Atlantic. Jerry is the tenth named storm and fourth hurricane of the 2019 Atlantic hurricane season.
As of 11:00 p.m. EDT Thursday, Hurricane Jerry was centered near 18.0°N 57.2°W. Maximum sustained winds were 90 knots (105 mph), with an estimated minimum pressure of 976 mb. Some slight additional intensification is possible overnight, but Jerry is expected to encounter increasing northwesterly shear tomorrow. Based on the SHIPS model, shear is expected to increase further to over 30 knots, but the shear is expected to be divergent, which may allow some re-intensification due to baroclinic processes. Jerry may even weaken below hurricane status this weekend, since the shear is expected to be quite strong. Since Jerry is a relatively small hurricane, only Tropical Storm Watches have been issued for the Leeward Islands. It is highly unlikely Jerry will pose a threat to the continental United States.