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Category: Active Tropics

Dorian becomes the first major hurricane of the 2019 Atlantic season

Dorian becomes the first major hurricane of the 2019 Atlantic season

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Hurricane Dorian has intensified into Category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale (SSHWS), making it the first major hurricane of the 2019 Atlantic hurricane season. Dorian is a major threat to the northern Bahamas and the southeastern United States early next week. As of 2:00 p.m. EDT Friday, Hurricane Dorian was centered near 24.8°N 70.3°W, and was moving northwestward at about 10 mph. Maximum sustained winds were 100 knots (115 mph), with an estimated minimum pressure of 970…

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Dorian becomes a hurricane, could threaten Southeastern U.S. as a dangerous major hurricane

Dorian becomes a hurricane, could threaten Southeastern U.S. as a dangerous major hurricane

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Tropical Storm Dorian intensified into the second hurricane of the 2019 Atlantic hurricane season Wednesday afternoon after multiple reports of hurricane-force winds were reported in St. Thomas. Dorian is likely to continue to intensify, perhaps rapidly, over the next few days and could threaten the southeastern United States, especially Florida, as a very dangerous major hurricane. The exact track remains uncertain, but Florida appears to be at the highest risk right now. Dorian becoming a major concern, especially for Florida…

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TS Dorian strengthens over the tropical Atlantic, 98L likely to develop

TS Dorian strengthens over the tropical Atlantic, 98L likely to develop

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Tropical Storm Dorian, the first tropical cyclone to form in the deep Atlantic tropics this season, is gradually becoming better organized as it approaches the Lesser Antilles. In the western Atlantic, Invest 98L is still likely to develop, but it is less likely to become an intense storm than initially predicted. Dorian getting better organized over the tropical Atlantic Tropical Storm Dorian, the first tropical cyclone to form in the deep Atlantic tropics this season, is gradually becoming better organized…

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Atlantic heating up: Invests 98L and 99L could develop this weekend

Atlantic heating up: Invests 98L and 99L could develop this weekend

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Although Tropical Depression Chantal is very close to becoming a remnant low, the Atlantic likely won’t be entering a lull, as two disturbances have a shot at becoming tropical cyclones this weekend. The first, Invest 98L, is a trough of low pressure just east of South Florida, and is likely to become a tropical depression by Sunday as it moves northeastward. The second, Invest 99L, is a small area of low pressure over the central tropical Atlantic that is gradually…

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Tropics waking up: TS Chantal forms over the northern Atlantic, TD Ten-E forms in the east Pacific, another disturbance to watch

Tropics waking up: TS Chantal forms over the northern Atlantic, TD Ten-E forms in the east Pacific, another disturbance to watch

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After a remarkably quiet August, the Atlantic and eastern Pacific basins both had a new tropical cyclone develop. Tropical Storm Chantal developed late last night over the far north Atlantic, and is no threat to land. Tropical Depression Ten-E has formed over the eastern Pacific and could become a hurricane late this week, but is expected to remain offshore the Baja California peninsula. Also in the Atlantic, an area of disturbed weather near the Bahamas could gradually develop into a…

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TS Erick forms over the eastern Pacific, Hawaii threat uncertain

TS Erick forms over the eastern Pacific, Hawaii threat uncertain

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Update 2:15 p.m. PDT: TD Six-E has been upgraded to Tropical Storm Erick by the NHC. Tropical Depression Six-E over the eastern Pacific is close to intensifying into a tropical storm. As of 11:00 a.m. HST (5:00 p.m. EDT), Tropical Depression Six-E was centered near 11.6°N 125.3°W, and was moving westward at about 18 mph. Maximum sustained winds were 30 knots (35 mph), with an estimated minimum pressure of 1006 mb. A recently-arrived ASCAT-C pass suggests Six-E is close to…

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TD Three forms over the Bahamas, significant intensification not expected, TD Five-E no threat

TD Three forms over the Bahamas, significant intensification not expected, TD Five-E no threat

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The North Atlantic’s third tropical depression developed Monday afternoon, but is not expected to become a tropical storm. The National Hurricane Center initiated advisories on Tropical Depression Three at 5:00 p.m. EDT Monday. TD Three is likely to be short-lived, as it is expected to be absorbed by a cold front on Wednesday. As of 5:00 p.m. EDT Monday, Tropical Depression Three was centered near 25.6°N 78.6°W, and was moving northwestward at about 13 mph. Maximum sustained winds were 25…

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Barry makes landfall in central Louisiana as a hurricane, TD Four-E expected to dissipate

Barry makes landfall in central Louisiana as a hurricane, TD Four-E expected to dissipate

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Hurricane Barry made landfall in central Louisiana today, near the Marsh Island area. The estimated intensity was 65 knots (70 mph), with an estimated minimum pressure of 993 mb. However, the exact time and location of landfall has not yet been officially determined due to Barry’s disorganized structure. Barry has since weakened to a tropical storm, and should continue to weaken over the next few days. As of 4:00 p.m. CDT (5:00 p.m. EDT), Tropical Storm Barry was centered near…

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Potential Tropical Cyclone Two expected to become a tropical storm on Thursday, a hurricane threat to the northern Gulf Coast

Potential Tropical Cyclone Two expected to become a tropical storm on Thursday, a hurricane threat to the northern Gulf Coast

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The National Hurricane Center (NHC) initiated advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Two Wednesday morning. Although Two is not yet a tropical cyclone, it has the potential to bring tropical storm conditions to southeastern Louisiana within 48 hours. A Hurricane Watch has been issued from the Mouth of the Mississippi River to Cameron, Louisiana. A Storm Surge Watch has been issued for the Mouth of the Pearl River to Intracoastal City, and a Tropical Storm Watch has been issued for Mouth…

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Invest 92L expected to develop by Thursday, may pose wind and surge risk for Louisiana

Invest 92L expected to develop by Thursday, may pose wind and surge risk for Louisiana

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Invest 92L has emerged over the northeastern Gulf of Mexico, and is likely to slowly organize into a tropical cyclone over the next day or two. Although the associated shower and thunderstorm activity is currently disorganized, 92L should gradually become better organized over the next few days. Global models have come into better agreement, with most of the recent models predicting that 92L will be a strong tropical storm or low-end hurricane making landfall somewhere in Louisiana on Saturday. However,…

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