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Category: Active Tropics

Hurricane Irma expected to make landfall in Western Florida on Sunday; Severe Storm Surge expected

Hurricane Irma expected to make landfall in Western Florida on Sunday; Severe Storm Surge expected

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Land interaction with the northern coast of Cuba has caused Hurricane Irma to weaken to a category 3 hurricane. However, some slight restrengthening is possible on Sunday morning when Irma emerges into the Florida Straits. Meanwhile, Hurricane Jose has weakened slightly today, but is likely to remain a hurricane for several days as it moves erratically across the western subtropical Atlantic. Irma weakens to a category 3 hurricane; no longer expected to make landfall as a category 4 hurrricane but…

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Irma reattains Category 5 status very near Cuba, expected to make landfall in Southwestern Florida on Sunday as a strong hurricane

Irma reattains Category 5 status very near Cuba, expected to make landfall in Southwestern Florida on Sunday as a strong hurricane

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After weakening to a category 4 hurricane earlier this morning, Hurricane Irma has regained category 5 intensity just prior to landfall near Camaguey Peninsula of Cuba. As of 11:00 p.m. EDT Friday, Hurricane Irma was centered near 22.1°N 77.7°W, and was moving westward at about 13 mph. Maximum sustained winds were 140 knots (160 mph) with an estimated minimum pressure of 924 mb. The intensity forecast for Irma is uncertain. Irma could weaken due to land interaction with Cuba, but it is…

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Rare event: three simultaneous hurricanes over the Atlantic

Rare event: three simultaneous hurricanes over the Atlantic

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A rare event took place today over the Atlantic – three simultaneous hurricanes are active over the basin for the first time since 2010. Hurricane Irma continues to be a very dangerous category 5 hurricane, while Tropical Storms Jose and Katia both strengthened into category 1 hurricanes today. Irma continues to pose a very serious hurricane threat to the Southeastern United States, while Jose and Katia are expected to continue strengthening and could become major hurricanes. It is possible that the…

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Irma strengthens into an extremely dangerous Category 5 hurricane, Tropical Storm Jose forms over the central Atlantic

Irma strengthens into an extremely dangerous Category 5 hurricane, Tropical Storm Jose forms over the central Atlantic

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Hurricane Irma strengthened into a rare category 5 hurricane Tuesday morning just east of the Leeward Islands, and has since intensified further to become the strongest Atlantic hurricane in wind speed since Wilma in 2005. Irma is an extremely dangerous hurricane with a well-defined, large eye surrounded by a ring of very deep convection. Irma is likely near its peak intensity and will likely begin to weaken by tomorrow if an eyewall replacement cycle occurs, but Irma is likely to…

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Irma strengthens into a Category 4 hurricane as it nears the Leeward Islands

Irma strengthens into a Category 4 hurricane as it nears the Leeward Islands

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Hurricane Irma strengthened into a category 4 hurricane Monday afternoon east of the Leeward Islands, and is likely to strengthen slightly more as it approaches the Islands early Wednesday morning. It is a distinct possibility that Irma could strengthen into a category 5 hurricane. Hurricane Warnings are currently in effect for the Leeward Islands as well as Puerto Rico, and Irma is likely to take a west-northwestward path towards the Bahamas and eventually South Florida by this weekend. There is…

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Hurricane Irma likely to pass near Leeward Islands on Tuesday or Wednesday, Hurricane Watches in effect for the Leeward Islands

Hurricane Irma likely to pass near Leeward Islands on Tuesday or Wednesday, Hurricane Watches in effect for the Leeward Islands

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Hurricane Irma has overall changed little in organization today, and is currently a Category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Scale. A NOAA Hurricane Hunter reconnaissance aircraft investigated the hurricane Sunday afternoon, and found that its minimum pressure was a little lower than estimated, but maximum sustained winds remained about 115 mph. Irma is likely to pass over or just north of the Leeward Islands late Tuesday or early Wednesday, and Hurricane Watches have been issued for several of these islands….

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Irma weakens slightly, but likely to restrengthen – still too early to tell if it is a threat to the United States

Irma weakens slightly, but likely to restrengthen – still too early to tell if it is a threat to the United States

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Hurricane Irma weakened slightly over the central tropical Atlantic Saturday morning, and is now a category 2 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale. Irma is likely to begin moving to the west-southwest shortly, and will likely pass north of the Leeward Islands by the middle of next week. As of 11:00 a.m. EDT Saturday, Hurricane Irma was centered near 18.8°N 43.3°W, and was moving westward at about 15 mph. Maximum sustained winds were 95 knots (110 mph), with an estimated minimum…

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Irma becomes the second major hurricane of the 2017 season – future track still uncertain

Irma becomes the second major hurricane of the 2017 season – future track still uncertain

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Tropical Storm Irma rapidly intensified into a category 3 major hurricane Thursday afternoon after it develop a small eye. Irma is likely to remain a strong hurricane for the next week at least, and is likely to pass near or just north of the Leeward Islands by the middle of next week as a strong hurricane. As of 11:00 p.m. EDT Thursday, Hurricane Irma was centered near 17.8°N 35.6°W, and was moving west-northwestward at about 12 mph. Maximum sustained winds were…

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Harvey weakens to a tropical depression inland Louisiana, Tropical Storm Irma forms over the Eastern Atlantic

Harvey weakens to a tropical depression inland Louisiana, Tropical Storm Irma forms over the Eastern Atlantic

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Tropical Storm Harvey made landfall near Cameron, Louisiana, early Wednesday morning, and has since weakened to a tropical depression inland. As Harvey made landfall, a new tropical storm formed in the eastern Atlantic, named Irma. Irma is likely to strengthen into a hurricane tomorrow and is likely to become the second major hurricane of the season by early next week in the tropical Atlantic, which has lacked strong hurricanes in recent years. In the Eastern Pacific, Tropical Storm Lidia has…

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Harvey nearing its second landfall in southwestern Louisiana

Harvey nearing its second landfall in southwestern Louisiana

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Tropical Storm Harvey is expected to make its second landfall over southwestern Louisiana early tomorrow morning. As of 10:00 p.m. CDT (11:00 p.m. EDT), Tropical Storm Harvey was centered near 29.0°N 93.6°W, and was moving northeastward at about 6 mph. Maximum sustained winds were 45 knots (50 mph) with an estimated minimum pressure of 994 mb. Harvey is a disorganized tropical cyclone, with an appearance resembling that of a sheared June Gulf of Mexico storm (like Cindy from this year). Harvey…

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