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Category: Active Tropics

Agatha rapidly intensifies into a Category 2 hurricane as it approaches southern Mexico

Agatha rapidly intensifies into a Category 2 hurricane as it approaches southern Mexico

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Tropical Storm Agatha over the eastern Pacific intensified into a hurricane on Sunday morning, and has now rapidly intensified into a high-end Category 2 hurricane as it turns northeastward towards landfall in southern Mexico. Agatha is expected to make landfall tomorrow evening, likely as a major hurricane. Agatha is the first eastern Pacific hurricane to form in May since Andres in 2015. As of 4:00 p.m. CDT (5:00 p.m. EDT), Hurricane Agatha was centered near 14.1°N 98.7°W, and was moving…

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TS Agatha forms over the eastern Pacific, expected to make landfall in southern Mexico as a hurricane

TS Agatha forms over the eastern Pacific, expected to make landfall in southern Mexico as a hurricane

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The first named storm of the 2022 Pacific hurricane season – Agatha – developed Saturday morning southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Agatha is expected to strengthen to a hurricane and make landfall in western Oaxaca Monday evening. Agatha’s remnants could emerge into the Bay of Campeche and will need to be monitored for possible redevelopment in the Gulf of Mexico late next week. As of 10:00 a.m. CDT (11:00 a.m. EDT), Tropical Storm Agatha was centered near 13.2°N 98.4°W,…

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Tropical Storm Sam forms over the central tropical Atlantic, expected to become a strong hurricane

Tropical Storm Sam forms over the central tropical Atlantic, expected to become a strong hurricane

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The Atlantic’s eighteenth named storm of the 2021 Atlantic hurricane season, Tropical Storm Sam, formed over the central tropical Atlantic on Thursday morning. Sam is in a very favorable environment for intensification and is likely to become a major hurricane in a few days. It remains too soon to tell if Sam will affect any land areas. Sam is the second-earliest eighteenth named storm on record in the Atlantic, surpassing Hurricane Rita of 2005 and behind only Hurricane Sally of…

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TS Peter and TS Rose form over the tropical Atlantic, both expected to remain weak and away from land

TS Peter and TS Rose form over the tropical Atlantic, both expected to remain weak and away from land

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Two named storms formed on Sunday, Tropical Storm Peter and Tropical Storm Rose, the 16th and 17th named storms of the 2021 Atlantic hurricane season. Both tropical storms are expected to remain weak and not become hurricanes. Rose’s formation marks the second straight year and only the third time in history in which the “R” named storm formed in the month of September. Early Sunday morning, a long-tracked tropical wave developed into Tropical Storm Peter, the 16th named storm of…

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TS Odette forms off U.S. east coast, likely to quickly become post-tropical

TS Odette forms off U.S. east coast, likely to quickly become post-tropical

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Tropical Storm Odette, the 15th named storm of the 2021 Atlantic hurricane season, was named Friday afternoon by the National Hurricane Center. Odette formed from an area of low pressure off the mid-Atlantic coast of the United States. This is the second time the name “Odette” has been used in the Atlantic basin, with the first occurrence being a rare Caribbean December tropical storm in 2003. As of 5:00 p.m. EDT Friday, Tropical Storm Odette was centered near 36.7°N 71.8°W,…

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TS Nicholas heading for Texas, new tropical wave may develop later this week

TS Nicholas heading for Texas, new tropical wave may develop later this week

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Tropical Storm Nicholas, the 14th named storm of the 2021 Atlantic hurricane season, is expected to make landfall in southeastern Texas early Tuesday morning. In addition to Nicholas, another tropical wave (Invest 95L) has recently emerged off the coast of western Africa, and could become a tropical depression later this week. As of 4:00 p.m. CDT (5:00 p.m. EDT), Tropical Storm Nicholas was centered near 27.4°N 96.4°W, and was moving north-northeastward at about 12 mph. Maximum sustained winds were 55…

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Larry becomes a major hurricane over the central tropical Atlantic

Larry becomes a major hurricane over the central tropical Atlantic

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Hurricane Larry continues to gradually strengthen over the tropical Atlantic Ocean, and is now a high-end Category 3 major hurricane. This makes Larry the third major hurricane of the 2021 Atlantic hurricane season. The average number of major hurricanes in the Atlantic through September 4 is one, so the Atlantic basin is well above average in major hurricanes so far. As of 5:00 p.m. EDT Saturday, Hurricane Larry was centered near 17.4°N 47.1°W, and was moving west-northwestward at approximately 14…

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Larry becomes a hurricane in the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean

Larry becomes a hurricane in the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean

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Tropical Storm Larry intensified into the fifth hurricane of the 2021 Atlantic hurricane season on Thursday morning, over the eastern tropical Atlantic. Larry is likely to intensify into a major hurricane over the next 2 days or so, but remains no imminent threat to land. As of 11:00 a.m. EDT, Hurricane Larry was centered near 13.5°N 34.2°W, and was moving westward at about 17 mph. Maximum sustained winds were 70 knots (80 mph), with an estimated minimum pressure of 985…

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Ida weakens to a depression as it moves farther inland, TS Kate no threat, new tropical wave likely to develop

Ida weakens to a depression as it moves farther inland, TS Kate no threat, new tropical wave likely to develop

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Hurricane Ida made landfall near Port Fourchon, Louisiana at 11:55 p.m. CDT Sunday, with maximum sustained winds of 130 knots (150 mph) and a minimum pressure of 930 mb. Ida was the second-most intense hurricane to ever hit the state of Louisiana by minimum pressure, with only Hurricane Katrina of 2005 having a lower pressure (920 mb). Since that time, land interaction and increasing wind shear has caused Ida to weaken rapidly, and Ida is now down to tropical depression…

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Tropical Storm Ida forms over the Northwestern Caribbean – a significant hurricane threat to the northern Gulf Coast

Tropical Storm Ida forms over the Northwestern Caribbean – a significant hurricane threat to the northern Gulf Coast

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The ninth tropical storm of the 2021 Atlantic hurricane season, Tropical Storm Ida, was named Thursday evening over the northwestern Caribbean Sea. Ida has a very favorable environment for significant intensification over the next several days. The global model consensus indicates that Ida is likely to become a powerful hurricane over the central Gulf of Mexico, with significant deepening likely up until around the time of landfall. In addition to Ida, both Invests 97L and 98L have potential to develop…

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