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Category: Active Tropics

Hurricane Grace strengthening over the Bay of Campeche, TS Henri expected to hit New England as a hurricane

Hurricane Grace strengthening over the Bay of Campeche, TS Henri expected to hit New England as a hurricane

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The Atlantic basin remains active with two tropical cyclones. Hurricane Grace is strengthening over the Bay of Campeche, and is likely to make landfall in northern Veracruz, Mexico early Saturday morning. In addition, Tropical Storm Henri is still expected to become a hurricane, and has a chance to become the first fully tropical hurricane to make landfall in the New England region since Hurricane Bob in 1991. As of 4:00 p.m. CDT (5:00 p.m. EDT) Friday, Hurricane Grace was centered…

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Grace becomes the second hurricane of the season as it nears the Yucatan Peninsula, TS Henri a potential threat to New England by Monday

Grace becomes the second hurricane of the season as it nears the Yucatan Peninsula, TS Henri a potential threat to New England by Monday

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Tropical Storm Grace intensified into the second hurricane of the 2021 Atlantic hurricane season Tuesday morning, and some additional intensification is likely before it makes landfall along the northern Yucatan Peninsula early Thursday morning. In addition, Tropical Storm Henri is close to becoming a hurricane, and models are suggesting that it may now pose a threat to New England by early next week. As of 5:00 p.m. EDT Wednesday, Hurricane Grace was centered near 19.7°N 83.7°W, and was moving west-northwestward…

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TS Fred makes landfall in eastern Florida Panhandle, Grace a tropical depression but likely to restrengthen, TS Henri forms southeast of Bermuda

TS Fred makes landfall in eastern Florida Panhandle, Grace a tropical depression but likely to restrengthen, TS Henri forms southeast of Bermuda

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The Atlantic basin continues to get more active as the peak of the hurricane season draws closer. Tropical Storm Fred made landfall near Cape San Blas, Florida around 2:15 p.m. CDT (3:15 p.m. EDT), with maximum sustained winds near 65 mph and a minimum pressure of 994 mb. While Fred is likely to dissipate in a couple of days, Tropical Depression Grace is likely to regain strength, potentially becoming a hurricane later this week in the southern Gulf of Mexico….

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TS Grace enters the Caribbean Sea, Fred expected to redevelop Sunday in Gulf of Mexico

TS Grace enters the Caribbean Sea, Fred expected to redevelop Sunday in Gulf of Mexico

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The Atlantic basin remains active, with Tropical Storm Grace entering the Caribbean Sea as well as the remnants of Tropical Storm Fred are expected to re-develop into a tropical depression by Sunday. In addition, there is an area of low pressure north of Bermuda being monitored for potential tropical development. As of 8:00 p.m. EDT Saturday, Tropical Storm Grace was located near 16.6°N 61.5°W, and was moving westward at about 23 mph. Maximum sustained winds were 35 knots (40 mph),…

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Potential Tropical Cyclone Six likely to become tropical storm near the Leeward Islands

Potential Tropical Cyclone Six likely to become tropical storm near the Leeward Islands

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After a month without any tropical cyclones active, the Atlantic basin is once again starting to get more active as the climatological peak of the season gets closer. A tropical wave approaching the Lesser Antilles, which the National Hurricane Center (NHC) has designated Potential Tropical Cyclone Six, has a high chance to become the Atlantic’s next tropical storm. As of 5:00 p.m. EDT Monday, Potential Tropical Cyclone Six was centered near 14.2°N 59.2°W, and was moving westward at about 15…

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Invest 90L could develop into a tropical depression before moving inland into Florida

Invest 90L could develop into a tropical depression before moving inland into Florida

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Invest 90L, an area of low pressure that has developed along a decaying frontal boundary, has a medium chance to become the next tropical depression of the 2021 Atlantic hurricane season. After Hurricane Elsa at the start of this month, the Atlantic basin has been quiet, though this is typical for the month of July, which averages about one named storm a year. As of 18:00 UTC Saturday, Invest 90L was centered near 29.0°N 77.4°W. Maximum sustained winds were 30…

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Hurricane Elsa, the Atlantic’s first hurricane of 2021, speeding westward through the Caribbean

Hurricane Elsa, the Atlantic’s first hurricane of 2021, speeding westward through the Caribbean

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Based on reports of sustained hurricane-force winds from Barbados, Tropical Storm Elsa was upgraded to a hurricane on Friday morning, the first of the 2021 Atlantic hurricane season. Elsa became the earliest hurricane to form in the Atlantic Main Development Region (MDR) of the satellite era, and is the first July hurricane in the eastern Caribbean Sea since Hurricane Emily in 2005. A hurricane in this region is very concerning for so early in the season, and could be a…

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Tropical Storm Elsa, Atlantic’s earliest “E” storm, heading for the Lesser Antilles

Tropical Storm Elsa, Atlantic’s earliest “E” storm, heading for the Lesser Antilles

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The fifth named storm of the 2021 Atlantic hurricane season and first named storm of July, Tropical Storm Elsa, was named early Thursday morning over the deep tropical Atlantic. Elsa is the Atlantic’s earliest fifth named storm on record, breaking the record of Tropical Storm Edouard set just last year. Elsa is likely to bring tropical storm conditions to the Lesser Antilles on Friday and likely the Greater Antilles this weekend. As of 5:00 p.m. EDT Thursday, Tropical Storm Elsa…

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Potential Tropical Cyclone Five likely to become tropical storm east of the Lesser Antilles

Potential Tropical Cyclone Five likely to become tropical storm east of the Lesser Antilles

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A vigorous tropical wave associated with a broad area of low pressure, located over the central tropical Atlantic, has been designated Potential Tropical Cyclone Five by the National Hurricane Center (NHC). The NHC initiates Potential Tropical Cyclone advisories to disturbances that are not yet a tropical cyclone, but both 1) have a high chance of development within 48 hours and 2) tropical storm watches or warnings are required for an area within 48 hours. Five is likely to become the…

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June-tember: Monitoring Invests 95L and 97L over the tropical Atlantic

June-tember: Monitoring Invests 95L and 97L over the tropical Atlantic

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It looks much more like September than late June over the deep tropical Atlantic, with two tropical waves currently being monitored by the National Hurricane Center for development. Invest 95L, located east of the Lesser Antilles, has not become much better organized, and its development chances appear to be decreasing. However, newly-designated Invest 97L over the southeastern tropical Atlantic is looking increasingly likely to be the Atlantic’s first deep tropics cyclone of 2021. Should either or both of 95L or…

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