Browsed by
Category: Daily Blog

Surface trough off eastern Florida not likely to become a tropical cyclone, eastern Pacific development possible late this week

Surface trough off eastern Florida not likely to become a tropical cyclone, eastern Pacific development possible late this week

Comments 0 Comment

A surface trough is currently producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity off the eastern coast of Florida. Due to strong upper-level winds, development of this trough into a tropical cyclone is unlikely at this time. Regardless, the National Hurricane Center (NHC) gives this disturbance a 20% chance of development, within both the next 48 hours and five days. More likely, however, is the potential development of a tropical cyclone over the far eastern Pacific. A Central American Gyre (CAG) –…

Read More Read More

TS Arthur moving away from North Carolina, expected to become post-tropical Tuesday

TS Arthur moving away from North Carolina, expected to become post-tropical Tuesday

Comments 0 Comment

The center of Tropical Storm Arthur passed very close to the North Carolina Outer Banks on Monday morning, though the center did not make landfall. After Arthur’s convective structure degraded on Sunday, deep convection redeveloped on Monday morning, and Arthur strengthened. Arthur produced sustained tropical storm force winds across portions of the Outer Banks this morning and afternoon. All Tropical Storm Warnings were discontinued at the 5:00 p.m. EDT Monday advisory. As of 5:00 p.m. EDT Monday, Tropical Storm Arthur…

Read More Read More

TS Arthur likely to bring rainfall to eastern North Carolina on Monday

TS Arthur likely to bring rainfall to eastern North Carolina on Monday

Comments 0 Comment

Tropical Storm Arthur, the first named storm of the 2020 Atlantic hurricane season, was named Saturday night, but is struggling with marginal sea surface temperatures and dry air. As of 11:00 p.m. EDT Sunday, Tropical Storm Arthur was centered near 32.4°N 76.9°W, and was moving north-northeastward at about 10 mph. Maximum sustained winds were 40 knots (45 mph), with an estimated minimum pressure of 1003 mb. The center of Arthur was approximately 210 miles south-southwest of Hatteras, North Carolina. Arthur’s…

Read More Read More

Tropical Depression One Forms East Of Florida, May Bring Tropical Storm Conditions to NC Outer Banks

Tropical Depression One Forms East Of Florida, May Bring Tropical Storm Conditions to NC Outer Banks

Comments 0 Comment

The North Atlantic’s first tropical depression of 2020 developed Saturday evening – Tropical Depression One. The formation of TD One makes 2020 the sixth consecutive year in which the Atlantic basin has had tropical or subtropical cyclone activity prior to the official start of the season (June 1). 2020 is also the third straight year with a May subtropical or tropical cyclone, and five of the last six years have had May activity in the Atlantic basin. TD One is…

Read More Read More

Invest 90L likely to become tropical or subtropical storm near the Bahamas by Saturday night

Invest 90L likely to become tropical or subtropical storm near the Bahamas by Saturday night

Comments 0 Comment

It appears very likely that the Atlantic’s streak of pre-season tropical activity, which began in 2015, will continue for a sixth year. A trough of low pressure – now designated Invest 90L – is likely to organize into 2020’s first tropical or subtropical cyclone, possibly as soon as Friday evening. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft has been tentatively scheduled to investigate 90L on Friday afternoon. As of 2:40 p.m. EDT Thursday, the National Hurricane Center (NHC) gave 90L…

Read More Read More

Pre-season subtropical development possible this weekend north of the Bahamas

Pre-season subtropical development possible this weekend north of the Bahamas

Comments 0 Comment

An area of low pressure is expected to develop north of the Bahamas on Saturday. This area of low pressure has a medium chance to become the Atlantic’s first subtropical or tropical cyclone of 2020. Although the Atlantic hurricane season does not officially begin until June 1, the month of May has seen a total of 9 subtropical or tropical cyclones form since 2007. These cyclones include Subtropical Storm Andrea (2007), Tropical Storm Arthur (2008), Tropical Depression One (2009), Tropical…

Read More Read More

Category 2 Hurricane Jerry expected to pass north of the Leeward Islands

Category 2 Hurricane Jerry expected to pass north of the Leeward Islands

Comments 0 Comment

Tropical Storm Jerry quickly intensified on Thursday to become a Category 2 hurricane over the western tropical Atlantic. Jerry is the tenth named storm and fourth hurricane of the 2019 Atlantic hurricane season. As of 11:00 p.m. EDT Thursday, Hurricane Jerry was centered near 18.0°N 57.2°W. Maximum sustained winds were 90 knots (105 mph), with an estimated minimum pressure of 976 mb. Some slight additional intensification is possible overnight, but Jerry is expected to encounter increasing northwesterly shear tomorrow. Based…

Read More Read More

Hurricane Dorian very close to the coast of South Carolina

Hurricane Dorian very close to the coast of South Carolina

Comments 0 Comment

Hurricane Dorian remains a powerful hurricane and is currently just offshore South Carolina. Dorian could make landfall somewhere in eastern North Carolina on Thursday night, but the model guidance is still split on whether or not a landfall will occur. Dorian is already bringing hurricane conditions and storm surge to the coastal Carolinas. Hurricane Warnings and Storm Surge Warnings remain effect for most of the region, with Tropical Storm Warnings extending into southeastern Virginia and even the coast of Massachusetts….

Read More Read More

Dorian weakens as it stalls near Grand Bahama Island, threat to Southeast U.S. remains

Dorian weakens as it stalls near Grand Bahama Island, threat to Southeast U.S. remains

Comments 0 Comment

Hurricane Dorian has not moved much since yesterday as it has battered the Northwestern Bahamas with hurricane conditions for over 24 hours. Due to an eyewall replacement cycle and possible upwelling of cooler water, Dorian has weakened some since yesterday, but remains a powerful Category 4 hurricane. However, the eyewall replacement cycle has resulted in Dorian’s wind field expanding, which increases the chances that the United States southeast coast may receive hurricane-force winds even if the center of Dorian does…

Read More Read More

Dorian becomes an extremely catastrophic Category 5 hurricane with 180-mph winds

Dorian becomes an extremely catastrophic Category 5 hurricane with 180-mph winds

Comments 0 Comment

Hurricane Dorian rapidly intensified once again overnight, and this morning has become the strongest hurricane on record in the Bahamas region of the Atlantic. Dorian has become a Category 5 hurricane, the fifth in the last four years, making 2016 to 2019 the first time on record that four consecutive Atlantic hurricane seasons had at least one Category 5 hurricane. As of 11:00 a.m. EDT Sunday, Hurricane Dorian was centered near 26.5°N 76.8°W, and was moving westward at about 7…

Read More Read More

©2017-2019 Cyclonic Fury. All Rights Reserved.