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Dorian becomes the first major hurricane of the 2019 Atlantic season

Dorian becomes the first major hurricane of the 2019 Atlantic season

Hurricane Dorian has intensified into Category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale (SSHWS), making it the first major hurricane of the 2019 Atlantic hurricane season. Dorian is a major threat to the northern Bahamas and the southeastern United States early next week. As of 2:00 p.m. EDT Friday, Hurricane Dorian was centered near 24.8°N 70.3°W, and was moving northwestward at about 10 mph. Maximum sustained winds were 100 knots (115 mph), with an estimated minimum pressure of 970…

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Dorian becomes a hurricane, could threaten Southeastern U.S. as a dangerous major hurricane

Dorian becomes a hurricane, could threaten Southeastern U.S. as a dangerous major hurricane

Tropical Storm Dorian intensified into the second hurricane of the 2019 Atlantic hurricane season Wednesday afternoon after multiple reports of hurricane-force winds were reported in St. Thomas. Dorian is likely to continue to intensify, perhaps rapidly, over the next few days and could threaten the southeastern United States, especially Florida, as a very dangerous major hurricane. The exact track remains uncertain, but Florida appears to be at the highest risk right now. Dorian becoming a major concern, especially for Florida…

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TS Dorian strengthens over the tropical Atlantic, 98L likely to develop

TS Dorian strengthens over the tropical Atlantic, 98L likely to develop

Tropical Storm Dorian, the first tropical cyclone to form in the deep Atlantic tropics this season, is gradually becoming better organized as it approaches the Lesser Antilles. In the western Atlantic, Invest 98L is still likely to develop, but it is less likely to become an intense storm than initially predicted. Dorian getting better organized over the tropical Atlantic Tropical Storm Dorian, the first tropical cyclone to form in the deep Atlantic tropics this season, is gradually becoming better organized…

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Atlantic heating up: Invests 98L and 99L could develop this weekend

Atlantic heating up: Invests 98L and 99L could develop this weekend

Although Tropical Depression Chantal is very close to becoming a remnant low, the Atlantic likely won’t be entering a lull, as two disturbances have a shot at becoming tropical cyclones this weekend. The first, Invest 98L, is a trough of low pressure just east of South Florida, and is likely to become a tropical depression by Sunday as it moves northeastward. The second, Invest 99L, is a small area of low pressure over the central tropical Atlantic that is gradually…

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Tropics waking up: TS Chantal forms over the northern Atlantic, TD Ten-E forms in the east Pacific, another disturbance to watch

Tropics waking up: TS Chantal forms over the northern Atlantic, TD Ten-E forms in the east Pacific, another disturbance to watch

After a remarkably quiet August, the Atlantic and eastern Pacific basins both had a new tropical cyclone develop. Tropical Storm Chantal developed late last night over the far north Atlantic, and is no threat to land. Tropical Depression Ten-E has formed over the eastern Pacific and could become a hurricane late this week, but is expected to remain offshore the Baja California peninsula. Also in the Atlantic, an area of disturbed weather near the Bahamas could gradually develop into a…

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Erick gradually weakening, Flossie unexpectedly weakens to a tropical storm due to shear, tropical wave could develop east of the Lesser Antilles by early next week

Erick gradually weakening, Flossie unexpectedly weakens to a tropical storm due to shear, tropical wave could develop east of the Lesser Antilles by early next week

Hurricanes Erick and Flossie over the eastern Pacific have both weakened since yesterday, with Flossie weakening to a tropical storm due to strong westerly shear. Erick should remain south of the Hawaiian Islands as it gradually weakens. Flossie could pass close to the islands in about 6 days or so, but marginal sea surface temperatures and increasing wind shear should weaken Flossie as it approaches from the east. In the Atlantic, a tropical wave has a strong chance to develop…

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Erick rapidly intensifies to Category 4, Flossie becomes a hurricane, two tropical waves to watch in the Atlantic

Erick rapidly intensifies to Category 4, Flossie becomes a hurricane, two tropical waves to watch in the Atlantic

The tropics are heating up in both the Atlantic and Pacific, with multiple systems to watch in both basins. Hurricanes Erick and Flossie are currently active over the Pacific, and two tropical waves (including Invest 95L) over the tropical Atlantic warrant monitoring. Erick rapidly intensifies to a Category 4 hurricane, but likely to weaken as it remains south of the Hawaiian Islands Hurricane Erick has rapidly intensified into the second major hurricane of the 2019 Pacific hurricane season. As of…

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Cyclonic Fury’s July 2019 Atlantic hurricane season forecast: Slightly above average activity anticipated

Cyclonic Fury’s July 2019 Atlantic hurricane season forecast: Slightly above average activity anticipated

The peak of the Atlantic hurricane season is quickly approaching. So far, the Atlantic basin has seen three tropical depressions and two named storms, including one minimal hurricane (Barry). Barry was the first July hurricane to make landfall in the United States since Arthur in 2014. Atlantic basin activity has been close to normal, though Barry reached hurricane strength about three weeks prior to the average date of the first hurricane formation in the Atlantic. Unlike the past two seasons,…

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TS Erick forms over the eastern Pacific, Hawaii threat uncertain

TS Erick forms over the eastern Pacific, Hawaii threat uncertain

Update 2:15 p.m. PDT: TD Six-E has been upgraded to Tropical Storm Erick by the NHC. Tropical Depression Six-E over the eastern Pacific is close to intensifying into a tropical storm. As of 11:00 a.m. HST (5:00 p.m. EDT), Tropical Depression Six-E was centered near 11.6°N 125.3°W, and was moving westward at about 18 mph. Maximum sustained winds were 30 knots (35 mph), with an estimated minimum pressure of 1006 mb. A recently-arrived ASCAT-C pass suggests Six-E is close to…

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TD Three forms over the Bahamas, significant intensification not expected, TD Five-E no threat

TD Three forms over the Bahamas, significant intensification not expected, TD Five-E no threat

The North Atlantic’s third tropical depression developed Monday afternoon, but is not expected to become a tropical storm. The National Hurricane Center initiated advisories on Tropical Depression Three at 5:00 p.m. EDT Monday. TD Three is likely to be short-lived, as it is expected to be absorbed by a cold front on Wednesday. As of 5:00 p.m. EDT Monday, Tropical Depression Three was centered near 25.6°N 78.6°W, and was moving northwestward at about 13 mph. Maximum sustained winds were 25…

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