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Florence significantly weaker but expected to restrengthen, 92L and 93L likely to become Helene and Isaac

Florence significantly weaker but expected to restrengthen, 92L and 93L likely to become Helene and Isaac

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Due to strong wind shear, Hurricane Florence has become much less organized today, weakening into a Category 1 hurricane. Florence is likely to fall below hurricane strength tonight or early tomorrow, but is likely to begin restrengthening by Saturday as it enters a more favorable environment. Florence is expected to pass south of Bermuda next Tuesday, though direct impacts are still possible to the small island. It is a possibility that Florence could impact the United States East Coast, though…

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Florence vaults to Category 4 status, Gordon weakening inland, 92L expected to develop

Florence vaults to Category 4 status, Gordon weakening inland, 92L expected to develop

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Somewhat unexpectedly, Hurricane Florence rapidly intensified into the first major hurricane of the 2018 Atlantic hurricane season Wednesday morning, and has since strengthened into a Category 4 hurricane. Last night, Tropical Storm Gordon made landfall near the Alabama-Mississippi border as a strong tropical storm with maximum sustained winds of 70 mph, and has rapidly weakened to a tropical depression today. There is also Invest 92L to watch in the eastern Atlantic, which is likely to become a tropical depression by…

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TS Gordon nearing landfall over the Northern Gulf Coast, Florence now a hurricane over the open Atlantic, 92L expected to develop

TS Gordon nearing landfall over the Northern Gulf Coast, Florence now a hurricane over the open Atlantic, 92L expected to develop

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The Atlantic tropics are very busy today, with Florence becoming the third hurricane of the season, Tropical Storm Gordon nearing landfall near the Alabama-Mississippi border, and two more tropical waves (including Invest 92L) are likely to develop by this weekend. The peak of the season is here, and the Atlantic is likely to remain quite busy for the next couple weeks. Gordon likely to make landfall as a strong tropical storm in a couple hours Tropical Storm Gordon has failed…

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Florence slightly weaker, 91L likely to develop in eastern Gulf of Mexico, Norman and Olivia spinning in the eastern Pacific

Florence slightly weaker, 91L likely to develop in eastern Gulf of Mexico, Norman and Olivia spinning in the eastern Pacific

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As we near the peak of hurricane season, the tropical Atlantic and eastern Pacific are both quite active today. Tropical Storm Florence over the eastern tropical Atlantic has weakened slightly this morning as its low-level circulation has become exposed.  Invest 91L, currently located near the Bahamas, is likely to develop into a tropical cyclone over the eastern Gulf of Mexico in a couple days. In the eastern Pacific, Hurricane Norman has re-attained Category 4 hurricane status, while Tropical Storm Olivia…

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Potential Tropical Cyclone Six expected to develop, an Atlantic tropical wave to watch, Norman a Category 4 hurricane in the Eastern Pacific

Potential Tropical Cyclone Six expected to develop, an Atlantic tropical wave to watch, Norman a Category 4 hurricane in the Eastern Pacific

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The tropics are very active today in both the Atlantic and Eastern Pacific. In the tropical Atlantic, a tropical wave which has just exited the coast of Africa has been designated Potential Tropical Cyclone Six and Tropical Storm Warnings have been issued for parts of the Cabo Verde Islands. This wave should develop into Tropical Storm Florence on Friday, and could become a hurricane as it moves west-northwestward by late this weekend. There is also a tropical wave currently being…

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Lane still a Category 4 hurricane; Big Island, Maui and Oahu under a Hurricane Warning

Lane still a Category 4 hurricane; Big Island, Maui and Oahu under a Hurricane Warning

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Despite increasing wind shear, Hurricane Lane is only slowly weakening and is still a Category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Lane is expected to make its closest approach to the islands tomorrow, though it is possible that the hurricane does not even make landfall. Even if Lane does not make landfall, heavy rainfall and strong winds are likely. Lane still a Category 4 hurricane but expected to weaken as it passes west of Hawaii As of 11:00…

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Hurricane Warnings for Hawai’i and Maui as Hurricane Lane approaches the Hawaiian Islands, Atlantic may awaken soon

Hurricane Warnings for Hawai’i and Maui as Hurricane Lane approaches the Hawaiian Islands, Atlantic may awaken soon

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Hurricane Lane, which reached peak intensity early this morning as a rare Category 5 hurricane over the Central Pacific, has weakened to a Category 4 hurricane this afternoon but remains a very powerful hurricane. Lane, the strongest Central Pacific hurricane since Ioke in 2006, continues to pose a serious threat to the Hawaiian Islands even if the center of the storm does not make landfall. Lane a Category 4 but still very powerful As of 11:00 a.m. HST (5:00 p.m….

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Lane near Category 5 status – poses a serious threat to Hawaiian Islands

Lane near Category 5 status – poses a serious threat to Hawaiian Islands

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Although global models were in good agreement that Hurricane Lane would most likely pass south of the Hawaiian Islands, over the past day or so models have trended much closer to the state, and direct impacts are looking increasing likely. Hurricane Lane is now a very dangerous high-end Category 4 hurricane and could intensify into a Category 5 hurricane later today. If Lane intensifies into a Category 5 hurricane, it will be the first Category 5 hurricane in the Central…

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Lane intensifies into a Category 4 hurricane as it nears the Central Pacific basin

Lane intensifies into a Category 4 hurricane as it nears the Central Pacific basin

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The Atlantic basin has gone quiet with the post-tropical transition of Tropical Storm Ernesto, but Hurricane Lane in the eastern Pacific Ocean has intensified into a Category 4 hurricane. Lane is the fourth major hurricane of the 2018 Pacific hurricane season, and the fourth Category 4 hurricane of the season. Lane is likely to remain a powerful hurricane over the next few days, though fluctuations in intensity are likely as with most major hurricanes. As of 8:00 a.m. PDT (11:00…

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Ernesto holding on as a tropical storm, Lane a Category 2 hurricane, 99L not expected to develop

Ernesto holding on as a tropical storm, Lane a Category 2 hurricane, 99L not expected to develop

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Tropical Storm Ernesto is holding on as a tropical storm over the Northeastern Atlantic despite cold sea surface temperatures, but should transition into a post-tropical cyclone tonight. In the eastern Pacific, Lane has intensified into a Category 2 hurricane, and some additional intensification is likely over the next day or two as it heads for the Central Pacific. As of 5:00 p.m. EDT Friday, Tropical Storm Ernesto was centered near 49.1°N 29.8°W, and was moving northeastward at about 31 mph….

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