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Invest 95L likely to become powerful hurricane over the tropical Atlantic

Invest 95L likely to become powerful hurricane over the tropical Atlantic

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An area of low pressure has formed in association with a tropical wave over the eastern tropical Atlantic, designated Invest 95L by the National Hurricane Center. 95L is likely to become a powerful hurricane by the weekend as it moves generally west-northwestward over the tropical Atlantic Ocean. As of 18:00 UTC Monday, Invest 95L was centered near 11.4°N 34.9°W. Maximum sustained winds were 30 knots (35 mph), with an estimated minimum pressure of 1010 mb. The associated shower and thunderstorm…

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Franklin begins to weaken, Idalia now a Category 2 hurricane over the eastern Gulf of Mexico

Franklin begins to weaken, Idalia now a Category 2 hurricane over the eastern Gulf of Mexico

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The Atlantic currently has simultaneously active hurricanes for the first time of the season. Hurricane Franklin is gradually beginning to weaken over the western subtropical Atlantic, while Hurricane Idalia is expected to strengthen into a major hurricane before making landfall in northwestern Florida around 8:00 a.m. tomorrow morning. As of 5:00 p.m. EDT Tuesday, Hurricane Franklin was centered near 31.4°N 69.9°W, and was moving eastward at about 12 mph. Maximum sustained winds were 110 knots (125 mph), with an estimated…

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Franklin rapidly intensifies into a Category 4 hurricane; TS Idalia expected to hit northwestern Florida as a major hurricane

Franklin rapidly intensifies into a Category 4 hurricane; TS Idalia expected to hit northwestern Florida as a major hurricane

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The Atlantic basin is very active today, with Hurricane Franklin becoming the first major hurricane of the season early this morning and Tropical Storm Idalia nearing hurricane strength near the western tip of Cuba. As of 5:00 p.m. EDT, Hurricane Franklin was centered near 28.5°N 71.0°W, and was moving northward at about 9 mph. Maximum sustained winds were 125 knots (145 mph), with an estimated minimum pressure of 937 mb. This makes Franklin a Category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson…

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Franklin becomes the second hurricane of the season, TD 10 forms over the Yucatan Channel

Franklin becomes the second hurricane of the season, TD 10 forms over the Yucatan Channel

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Tropical Storm Franklin intensified into the second hurricane of the 2023 Atlantic hurricane season Saturday morning, and is expected to intensify further to major hurricane intensity well offshore of the United States east coast. The larger threat is Tropical Depression Ten, which has just developed over the northwestern Caribbean near the Yucatan Channel. TD Ten is expected to become a hurricane and make landfall somewhere in northwestern Florida, but the exact details on track and intensity are still highly uncertain…

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Franklin moving away from Hispaniola, expected to become a hurricane over the western Atlantic

Franklin moving away from Hispaniola, expected to become a hurricane over the western Atlantic

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Tropical Storm Franklin has re-emerged off the coast of Hispaniola into the western Atlantic Ocean, and is expected to become a hurricane in a few days. As of 8:00 p.m. EDT, Tropical Storm Franklin was centered near 20.6°N 70.5°W, and was moving north-northeastward at approximately 13 mph. Maximum sustained winds were 35 knots (40 mph), with an estimated minimum pressure of 1004 mb. An Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft is currently investigating Franklin, and actually found that Franklin’s low-level circulation…

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Disorganized Franklin headed for Hispaniola, Harold weakens to a depression over south Texas

Disorganized Franklin headed for Hispaniola, Harold weakens to a depression over south Texas

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The Atlantic tropics remain active, though none of the current systems are intense at the moment. Tropical Depression Gert became a post-tropical remnant low this morning. Tropical Storm Harold has weakened to a depression, while Tropical Storm Franklin is barely holding on as a tropical cyclone over the central Caribbean Sea. Tropical Storm Franklin appears to have become less organized than yesterday, and barely qualifies as a tropical cyclone at the moment. As of 5:00 p.m. EDT Tuesday, the estimated…

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Tropical Storm Franklin headed for Hispaniola, Tropical Depression Nine expected to become a tropical storm tonight and make landfall in south Texas

Tropical Storm Franklin headed for Hispaniola, Tropical Depression Nine expected to become a tropical storm tonight and make landfall in south Texas

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The Atlantic basin is in the midst of a tropical cyclone outbreak. Tropical Storm Emily formed yesterday morning and quickly dissipated this morning over the eastern tropical Atlantic, and is no threat to land. Tropical Depression Six strengthened into Tropical Storm Gert late last night, but has since weakened to a tropical depression and is expected to dissipate soon. This blog will focus on Tropical Storm Franklin and Tropical Depression Nine, which are currently the main threats in the basin….

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TS Watches issued for Southern California for the first time on record as Hilary reaches Category 4 status; Atlantic activity coming soon

TS Watches issued for Southern California for the first time on record as Hilary reaches Category 4 status; Atlantic activity coming soon

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For the first time ever on Friday morning, the National Hurricane Center issued a Tropical Storm Watch for parts of Southern California, as Hurricane Hilary rapidly intensified to Category 4 strength. Hilary is likely going to be a high-impact event for the northern Baja California peninsula as well as the southwestern United States. As of 12:00 a.m. MDT (2:00 p.m. EDT) Friday, Hurricane Hilary was centered near 18.2°N 111.8°W, and was moving northwestward at approximately 10 mph. Maximum sustained winds…

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TS Hilary likely to become a hurricane and bring significant impacts to Baja California and Southwestern US; Atlantic about to get active

TS Hilary likely to become a hurricane and bring significant impacts to Baja California and Southwestern US; Atlantic about to get active

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The tropics are getting active, both the eastern Pacific and Atlantic. In the eastern Pacific, Tropical Storm Hilary has formed, is expected to become a powerful hurricane, and is likely to bring impacts to the Baja California peninsula as well as the southwestern United States. On Wednesday morning, a large area of low pressure organized into Tropical Storm Hilary (spelled with one “L”), the eighth named storm of the eastern Pacific hurricane season. As of 4:00 p.m. CDT (5:00 p.m….

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A quiet first half of August for the Atlantic, but an uptick likely on the way very soon

A quiet first half of August for the Atlantic, but an uptick likely on the way very soon

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The first half of August has passed with no tropical cyclone development in the Atlantic basin, which is not terribly unusual. Unlike August of last year, which went all month without a single tropical cyclone formation in the Atlantic, it appears likely that the Atlantic basin will come to life within the next 2 weeks. This is right in line with climatology, as there is a sharp spike in activity beginning around August 20 climatologically. The National Hurricane Center (NHC)…

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