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Tropical Depression Eight forms east of the Bahamas, Tropical Depression Jova struggling over the Eastern Pacific

Tropical Depression Eight forms east of the Bahamas, Tropical Depression Jova struggling over the Eastern Pacific

The fast start to the 2017 Atlantic hurricane season continues. After nine days of being an invest, Invest 99L finally developed a well-defined circulation and sufficient organized convection to be designated a tropical depression Saturday evening. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) has initiated advisories on Tropical Depression Eight, located to the east-northeast of the Turks and Caicos Islands. Eight is likely to strengthen into a tropical storm and has the potential to strengthen to near hurricane strength along the Gulf…

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Invests 99L in Atlantic, 92E in Eastern Pacific could develop this weekend

Invests 99L in Atlantic, 92E in Eastern Pacific could develop this weekend

Two investigative areas “invests” – one over the Atlantic (Invest 99L) and one over the Eastern Pacific (92E) have a good chance to develop into tropical depressions this weekend. 99L – an area of low pressure we have been tracking in the Atlantic for over a week – is expected to move into a more conducive environment for development this weekend as wind shear is expected to decrease. Invest 92E, associated with the remnants of Atlantic Hurricane Franklin, is very…

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Franklin dissipates over the mountains of Mexico, but could regenerate over the Eastern Pacific, tenacious Invest 99L still could develop

Franklin dissipates over the mountains of Mexico, but could regenerate over the Eastern Pacific, tenacious Invest 99L still could develop

Hurricane Franklin made landfall in the Mexican state of Veracruz around 1:00 a.m. CDT as a category 1 hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 75 knots (85 mph) and a minimum pressure of 988 mb. Franklin’s circulation quickly dissipated over the mountains of central Mexico. However, the mid-level remnant energy of Franklin has a medium chance of regenerating into a tropical cyclone over the Eastern Pacific, but if regeneration does occur, the new storm should be short-lived. Invest 99L remains…

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Franklin becomes the first Atlantic hurricane of 2017 as it nears landfall in Veracruz, Mexico, 99L becoming better organized

Franklin becomes the first Atlantic hurricane of 2017 as it nears landfall in Veracruz, Mexico, 99L becoming better organized

Tropical Storm Franklin quickly intensified to the first hurricane of the 2017 Atlantic hurricane season on Wednesday afternoon over the western Bay of Campeche. Franklin’s strengthening into a hurricane on August 9 is just one day ahead of the climatological average date of the first hurricane – August 10. Franklin is expected to make landfall during the next few hours in the Mexican state of Veracruz, and Hurricane Warnings are in effect from Puerto de Veracruz to Cabo Rojo. Hurricane…

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Franklin strengthens as it emerges into the Bay of Campeche, likely to become a hurricane, 99L could develop east of the Bahamas

Franklin strengthens as it emerges into the Bay of Campeche, likely to become a hurricane, 99L could develop east of the Bahamas

Tropical Storm Franklin emerged into the Bay of Campeche earlier this evening, and has already begun to strengthen. Franklin is likely to strengthen some more over the next 24-30 hours before landfall occurs early on Thursday, and the official National Hurricane Center (NHC) forecast brings Franklin to a minimal hurricane before landfall in Mainland Mexico. Hurricane Warnings, the first of 2017, have been issued for a portion of Mexico. As of 10:00 p.m. CDT (11:00 p.m. EDT) Tuesday, Tropical Storm…

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Franklin nearing landfall over the central Yucatan Peninsula, keep an eye on Invest 99L for possible development east of the Bahamas

Franklin nearing landfall over the central Yucatan Peninsula, keep an eye on Invest 99L for possible development east of the Bahamas

Tropical Storm Franklin has strengthened today as it has approached the Yucatan Peninsula, although the cyclone has not rapidly intensified as much as previously expected. Although additional intensification seems unlikely before its first landfall over the Yucatan Peninsula, Franklin is expected. Aside from Franklin, it is still too soon to write off the struggling Invest 99L over the tropical Atlantic, which has a chance to develop into a tropical cyclone east of the Bahamas. Franklin likely to weaken over the…

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Tropical Storm Franklin forms over the Northwestern Caribbean Sea, could become a hurricane over the Bay of Campeche

Tropical Storm Franklin forms over the Northwestern Caribbean Sea, could become a hurricane over the Bay of Campeche

Invest 90L was designated Potential Tropical Cyclone Seven by the National Hurricane Center (NHC) on Sunday evening, and has just recently developed into Tropical Storm Franklin over the Northwestern Caribbean Sea based on last-light visible images indicating that the circulation had become better defined. Franklin is the sixth named storm of the 2017 Atlantic hurricane season so far. As of 11:00 p.m. EDT Sunday, Tropical Storm Franklin was centered near 16.4°N 83.0°W, and was moving west-northwestward at about 13 mph….

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Invest 99L becoming less likely to develop, Invest 90L becoming better organized over the Caribbean

Invest 99L becoming less likely to develop, Invest 90L becoming better organized over the Caribbean

Two systems in the Atlantic still have a chance to develop into a tropical cyclone. An elongated area of low pressure in the central tropical Atlantic, Invest 99L, has become slightly better organized today, but its chances of developing into a tropical cyclone are decreasing since the disturbance is expected to move into unfavorable conditions by early next week. A strong tropical wave over the central Caribbean, Invest 90L, has become a little better organized today, and has potential to…

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Invests 90L and 99L have not become better organized today, but still likely to develop, Tropical Depression Eleven-E forms in East Pacific

Invests 90L and 99L have not become better organized today, but still likely to develop, Tropical Depression Eleven-E forms in East Pacific

Invests 90L and 99L over the Atlantic have not become any better organized today, but remain threats to develop into tropical cyclones over the next several days. In the Eastern Pacific, Invest 91E somewhat unexpectedly developed into Tropical Depression Eleven-E this morning, but is not expected to strengthen due to a hostile environment. Invest 99L likely to develop, but long-term future extremely uncertain Invest 99L has not become much better organized today as it struggles to consolidate due to its…

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Watching two Atlantic tropical waves: Invest 99L in the Eastern Atlantic and Invest 90L in the Eastern Caribbean

Watching two Atlantic tropical waves: Invest 99L in the Eastern Atlantic and Invest 90L in the Eastern Caribbean

The Atlantic is really heating up as we get into August. Two tropical waves over the Atlantic have potential to develop into a tropical cyclone over the next several days. The first one, Invest 99L, is a vigorous, large tropical wave with a broad area of low pressure centered south of the Cabo Verde Islands. The second one, Invest 90L, is a strong tropical wave located over the eastern Caribbean Sea. Both have potential to possibly strengthen and impact land…

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