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Cindy makes landfall in Southwestern Louisiana, weakens to a Tropical Depression, heavy rainfall threat continues

Cindy makes landfall in Southwestern Louisiana, weakens to a Tropical Depression, heavy rainfall threat continues

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Tropical Storm Cindy made landfall in Southwestern Louisiana around 4:00 AM CDT Thursday morning, west of the town of Cameron. Cindy at the time of landfall had maximum sustained winds of 35 knots (40 mph) with a minimum pressure of 994 mb. Since landfall, the appearance of Cindy has degraded, and Cindy has since been downgraded to a tropical depression. Cindy remains a tropical depression this evening, but advisories are now being issued by the Weather Prediction Center (WPC) instead…

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Gulf Coast, Southeast prepare for disorganized Tropical Storm Cindy

Gulf Coast, Southeast prepare for disorganized Tropical Storm Cindy

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Tropical Storm Cindy remains disorganized today over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico. Cindy is expected to make landfall near the Texas-Louisiana border around 4:00 AM CDT (local time) Thursday. Cindy’s formation date of June 20 is nearly two months earlier than the climatological average date of the third named storm, August 13. However, it should be stressed that early-season Gulf of Mexico storms are not a strong indicator of the overall seasonal activity (but early-season development in the deep tropics,…

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Bret opens up into a wave, Tropical Storm Cindy expected to make landfall near the Texas-Louisiana border Thursday morning

Bret opens up into a wave, Tropical Storm Cindy expected to make landfall near the Texas-Louisiana border Thursday morning

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The short life of Tropical Storm Bret came to an end Tuesday afternoon as the National Hurricane Center (NHC) downgraded it to a remnant low because it degenerated into a tropical wave. Meanwhile, Potential Tropical Cyclone Three was upgraded to Tropical Storm Cindy, the third named storm of the 2017 Atlantic hurricane season, and is forecast to make landfall near the Texas-Louisiana border and bring heavy rains to the Southeastern United States. Historic Tropical Storm Bret degenerates into a tropical…

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Tropical Storm Bret becomes earliest named storm in Atlantic MDR, Potential Tropical Cyclone Three a threat to Gulf Coast

Tropical Storm Bret becomes earliest named storm in Atlantic MDR, Potential Tropical Cyclone Three a threat to Gulf Coast

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Potential Tropical Cyclone Two was upgraded to Tropical Storm Bret Monday afternoon by the National Hurricane Center after an Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft identified a well-defined circulation. This makes Bret the earliest Atlantic named storm to form in the Atlantic deep tropics east of the Lesser Antilles on record. In addition, the NHC initiated advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Three in the Gulf of Mexico – which is likely to develop into Tropical Storm Cindy tomorrow and threaten East Texas or Louisiana later…

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92L becomes Potential Tropical Cyclone Two, expected to become Tropical Storm Bret, 93L poised to become Tropical Storm Cindy

92L becomes Potential Tropical Cyclone Two, expected to become Tropical Storm Bret, 93L poised to become Tropical Storm Cindy

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The National Hurricane Center (NHC) unveiled a new product Sunday afternoon with the initiation of advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Two (formerly Invest 92L). Potential TC Two is given a high (90 percent) chance of development within 48 hours by the NHC, and is expected to become Tropical Storm Bret tomorrow. Invest 93L in the Northwestern Caribbean Sea remains disorganized this evening, but the NHC gives 93L an 80 percent chance of development within 48 hours and a 90 percent chance…

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Twin invests: 92L struggling to develop thunderstorms, 93L likely to become tropical storm over Gulf of Mexico

Twin invests: 92L struggling to develop thunderstorms, 93L likely to become tropical storm over Gulf of Mexico

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For the first time since September 2016, the Atlantic has two investigative areas (known officially as invests) at once! Yesterday, a tropical wave was designated 92L in the central Atlantic. This morning, the National Hurricane Center (NHC) designated Invest 93L – a broad area of low pressure over the Northwestern Caribbean Sea. Both have a significant chance of developing into tropical cyclones over the next few days. The NHC gives 92L a 40 percent chance of development within 48 hours,…

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African tropical wave designated Invest 92L, broad low pressure area forms over Northwestern Caribbean

African tropical wave designated Invest 92L, broad low pressure area forms over Northwestern Caribbean

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The Atlantic tropics are beginning to heat up as we get into mid-June. This morning, the National Hurricane Center (NHC) designated the African wave we have been tracking for the last few days Invest 92L. 92L is the first in-season “invest” of the 2017 Atlantic season. In their 8:00 p.m. EDT Friday Tropical Weather Outlook (TWO),  the NHC gave 92L a 40 percent chance of development within 48 hours and a 60 percent chance within five days. In addition to…

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Tropical storm likely to form in Gulf next week, tropical wave is struggling

Tropical storm likely to form in Gulf next week, tropical wave is struggling

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  Global models on Thursday have generally become more optimistic with Gulf of Mexico development and less optimistic with deep tropics development. At 2:00 PM EDT Thursday afternoon, the National Hurricane Center (NHC) gave a near zero percent chance of a tropical cyclone forming from a monsoonal low in the Gulf of Mexico within 48 hours, and a 50 percent chance within five days. This is up from yesterday at this time, at which NHC only gave a 20 percent…

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Watching the Atlantic: a tropical wave and a monsoon gyre – not imminent threats at this time

Watching the Atlantic: a tropical wave and a monsoon gyre – not imminent threats at this time

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There continues to be two areas of interest in the Atlantic today, both only having a low chance of development within the next five days. Models continue to indicate that a broad area of low pressure will likely form over the Northwestern Caribbean during the next few days, eventually emerging into the Gulf of Mexico. The National Hurricane Center continues to give this system a near zero percent chance of development within 48 hours, and a 20 percent chance of…

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Calvin, Merbok dissipate, National Hurricane Center mentions development possibility in Caribbean

Calvin, Merbok dissipate, National Hurricane Center mentions development possibility in Caribbean

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This morning, Tropical Storm Calvin in the East Pacific and Tropical Storm Merbok in the West Pacific both dissipated inland Mexico and China, respectively. So far, no fatalities or significant damage have been reported from either storm. The Pacific should remain quiet for a while, and the Atlantic basin is now the basin to watch. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) first noted the possibility of development in the Western Caribbean in five days this morning in its 8:00 AM EDT…

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