Browsed by
Category: Daily Blog

Tropical Atlantic, East Pacific likely to be quiet for a while

Tropical Atlantic, East Pacific likely to be quiet for a while

The tropics in the Atlantic and East Pacific are likely to remain quiet for the next week or two. Don’t expect the formation of Bret or Beatriz in the near future. Last week, a somewhat favorable Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) pattern allowed Tropical Storm Adrian to spin up in the East Pacific. However, the favorable MJO has moved out of the Western Hemisphere, and is heading towards the Indian Ocean and Western Pacific. A favorable MJO pattern is characterized by moist, rising…

Read More Read More

ECMWF May climate forecast update is in, still showing El Niño but shows a less hostile tropical Atlantic than previous runs

ECMWF May climate forecast update is in, still showing El Niño but shows a less hostile tropical Atlantic than previous runs

Each month, the European Center for Medium Range Weather Forecasting (ECMWF) runs a climate model to predict temperature and rainfall trends throughout the world. This model also is used to predict sea surface temperature, and this helps meteorologists predict the upcoming hurricane season. The May update to the ECMWF climate model was released to the public today. It shows a more favorable Atlantic for the peak season period of August/September/October, with near-normal rainfall in the both the Atlantic Main Development…

Read More Read More

My 2017 Atlantic hurricane season forecast

My 2017 Atlantic hurricane season forecast

Welcome to Cyclonic Fury’s Daily Blog! From now until the end of November, I will add a blog post nearly every day about the latest news in tropical weather. Today is May 15 – and the Atlantic hurricane season officially begins in only 17 days.  Tropical cyclones form primarily in the Atlantic between June 1 and November 30 (the dates that are officially considered Atlantic hurricane season), however, they can form before or after these dates, as evidenced by Tropical…

Read More Read More

©2017-2019 Cyclonic Fury. All Rights Reserved.