Laura becomes a hurricane over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico, expected to make landfall near the Texas-Louisiana border as a major hurricane

Laura becomes a hurricane over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico, expected to make landfall near the Texas-Louisiana border as a major hurricane

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After a long trek over the Greater Antilles, Tropical Storm Laura intensified into the fourth hurricane of the 2020 Atlantic hurricane season on Tuesday morning over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico. Laura is likely to continue intensifying over the Gulf of Mexico as it moves northwestward, and is likely to become the first major hurricane of the season prior to making landfall somewhere near the Texas-Louisiana border. The exact landfall location remains uncertain, but there is more clarity today. As…

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Marco weakens as it heads towards Louisiana, Laura likely to become a powerful hurricane over the Gulf of Mexico

Marco weakens as it heads towards Louisiana, Laura likely to become a powerful hurricane over the Gulf of Mexico

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It is late August, and the already-active Atlantic hurricane season is quickly ramping up. Tropical Storm Marco became a hurricane over the eastern Gulf of Mexico for a brief time earlier today, but has since weakened to a tropical storm as it enters an environment of strong wind shear. Marco is expected to make landfall in eastern Louisiana on Monday evening, though it is unclear how much additional weakening will occur. Tropical Storm Laura has managed to maintain intact after…

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The Atlantic breaks yet another earliest named storm record: TS Kyle forms, little threat to land, Josephine likely to dissipate soon

The Atlantic breaks yet another earliest named storm record: TS Kyle forms, little threat to land, Josephine likely to dissipate soon

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The Atlantic has set yet another record for the earliest named storm: this time, the earliest 11th tropical storm: Kyle. Kyle formed Friday afternoon off the United States east coast, and could strengthen a little before losing tropical characteristics on Sunday or Monday. In addition to Kyle, Tropical Storm Josephine remains active as a minimal tropical storm over the western tropical Atlantic. Josephine is likely to dissipate at some point during the next few days as it encounters strong westerly…

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Isaias just below hurricane strength, expected to make landfall near the North-South Carolina border early Tuesday morning

Isaias just below hurricane strength, expected to make landfall near the North-South Carolina border early Tuesday morning

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Tropical Storm Isaias has changed little in strength for the last two days, but remains just below hurricane strength as it is expected to make landfall tonight near the border of North and South Carolina. Hurricane Warnings are in effect for parts of the Carolina Coast, and it remains a distinct possibility Isaias could regain hurricane strength before moving inland. As of 5:00 p.m. EDT Monday, Tropical Storm Isaias was centered near 32.0°N 79.4°W, and was moving north-northeastward at about…

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Isaias weakens to a tropical storm, but hurricane warnings remain in effect for southeastern Florida

Isaias weakens to a tropical storm, but hurricane warnings remain in effect for southeastern Florida

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Due to dry mid-level air and an increase in wind shear, as predicted by much of the model guidance, Hurricane Isaias weakened to a high-end tropical storm on Saturday afternoon. However, Isaias is still likely to be a strong tropical storm or minimal hurricane when it makes its closest approach to southeastern Florida on Sunday, and is likely to still be a strong tropical storm As of 5:00 p.m. EDT Saturday, Tropical Storm Isaias was centered near 25.1°N 78.7°W, and…

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Hurricane Isaias a threat to Bahamas and Southeastern U.S., TD 10 forms over the far eastern Atlantic

Hurricane Isaias a threat to Bahamas and Southeastern U.S., TD 10 forms over the far eastern Atlantic

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The anomalously active July has come to a close over the Atlantic basin with a record-breaking 6 tropical cyclones, 5 of which became named storms (tying the record from the 2005 season) and 2 of which have become hurricanes. Hurricane Isaias is slowly strengthening over the central Bahamas, and may still be a hurricane when it approaches the coast of Florida and eventually the Carolinas on Sunday and Monday. In the far eastern Atlantic, a small area of low pressure…

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Cyclonic Fury’s final 2020 Atlantic hurricane season forecast: Potentially hyperactive season predicted

Cyclonic Fury’s final 2020 Atlantic hurricane season forecast: Potentially hyperactive season predicted

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The 2020 Atlantic hurricane season has been off to a historic start. Nine named storms have formed so far, including two hurricanes (Hanna and Isaias). Nine named storms is the most on record through this date, surpassing the 2005 season, which had the most named storms on record (28). However, Accumulated Cyclone Energy is much lower than 2005, since most of the storms have been weak and short-lived and only two have reached hurricane strength. It should be stressed, though,…

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Hanna becomes the first hurricane of the season as it threatens South Texas

Hanna becomes the first hurricane of the season as it threatens South Texas

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It’s a very busy Saturday in late July in the tropics. In the western Gulf of Mexico, Tropical Storm Hanna has strengthened into a Category 1 hurricane, making it the first hurricane of the season. Near the Windward Islands, Tropical Storm Gonzalo is likely very close to opening up into a tropical wave. In the Central Pacific, Hurricane Douglas is gradually weakening, but still could be a tropical cyclone near the Hawaiian Islands. In the far eastern Atlantic, there is…

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Gonzalo less organized, TD 8 likely to become TS Hanna over the Northwestern Gulf of Mexico

Gonzalo less organized, TD 8 likely to become TS Hanna over the Northwestern Gulf of Mexico

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For the first time of 2020, two Atlantic tropical cyclones are active at once. Small Tropical Storm Gonzalo over the central tropical Atlantic unexpectedly weakened on Friday, which is not too surprising considering small tropical cyclones often undergo unexpected intensity changes. Meanwhile, Tropical Depression Eight formed over the central Gulf of Mexico on Wednesday night, and is likely to become a tropical storm very soon as it moves westward towards Texas. The current record earliest 8th tropical storm was Tropical…

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Tropical Depression Seven forms over the central tropical Atlantic, Invest 91L may develop over Northern Gulf of Mexico

Tropical Depression Seven forms over the central tropical Atlantic, Invest 91L may develop over Northern Gulf of Mexico

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The Atlantic’s first tropical cyclone in the deep tropics formed on Tuesday – Tropical Depression Seven. TD Seven is likely to become a tropical storm over the next few days, but faces a very uncertain future. It may threaten the Windward Islands, but its intensity remains highly uncertain. In addition to TD Seven, Invest 91L has a chance to develop over the Northwestern Gulf of Mexico late this week. As of 5:00 p.m. EDT Tuesday, Tropical Depression Seven was centered…

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