CYCLONIC FURY

Dorian weakens as it stalls near Grand Bahama Island, threat to Southeast U.S. remains

September 2, 2019 Daulton Bahm Comments 0 Comment

Hurricane Dorian has not moved much since yesterday as it has battered the Northwestern Bahamas with hurricane conditions for over 24 hours. Due to an eyewall replacement cycle and possible upwelling of cooler water, Dorian has weakened some since yesterday, but remains a powerful Category 4 hurricane. However, the eyewall replacement cycle has resulted in Dorian’s wind field expanding, which increases the chances that the United States southeast coast may receive hurricane-force winds even if the center of Dorian does…

Read More Read More

Dorian becomes an extremely catastrophic Category 5 hurricane with 180-mph winds

September 1, 2019 Daulton Bahm Comments 0 Comment

Hurricane Dorian rapidly intensified once again overnight, and this morning has become the strongest hurricane on record in the Bahamas region of the Atlantic. Dorian has become a Category 5 hurricane, the fifth in the last four years, making 2016 to 2019 the first time on record that four consecutive Atlantic hurricane seasons had at least one Category 5 hurricane. As of 11:00 a.m. EDT Sunday, Hurricane Dorian was centered near 26.5°N 76.8°W, and was moving westward at about 7…

Read More Read More

Dorian becomes the first major hurricane of the 2019 Atlantic season

August 30, 2019 Daulton Bahm Comments 0 Comment

Hurricane Dorian has intensified into Category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale (SSHWS), making it the first major hurricane of the 2019 Atlantic hurricane season. Dorian is a major threat to the northern Bahamas and the southeastern United States early next week. As of 2:00 p.m. EDT Friday, Hurricane Dorian was centered near 24.8°N 70.3°W, and was moving northwestward at about 10 mph. Maximum sustained winds were 100 knots (115 mph), with an estimated minimum pressure of 970…

Read More Read More

Dorian becomes a hurricane, could threaten Southeastern U.S. as a dangerous major hurricane

August 28, 2019 Daulton Bahm Comments 0 Comment

Tropical Storm Dorian intensified into the second hurricane of the 2019 Atlantic hurricane season Wednesday afternoon after multiple reports of hurricane-force winds were reported in St. Thomas. Dorian is likely to continue to intensify, perhaps rapidly, over the next few days and could threaten the southeastern United States, especially Florida, as a very dangerous major hurricane. The exact track remains uncertain, but Florida appears to be at the highest risk right now. Dorian becoming a major concern, especially for Florida…

Read More Read More

TS Dorian strengthens over the tropical Atlantic, 98L likely to develop

August 25, 2019 Daulton Bahm Comments 0 Comment

Tropical Storm Dorian, the first tropical cyclone to form in the deep Atlantic tropics this season, is gradually becoming better organized as it approaches the Lesser Antilles. In the western Atlantic, Invest 98L is still likely to develop, but it is less likely to become an intense storm than initially predicted. Dorian getting better organized over the tropical Atlantic Tropical Storm Dorian, the first tropical cyclone to form in the deep Atlantic tropics this season, is gradually becoming better organized…

Read More Read More

Atlantic heating up: Invests 98L and 99L could develop this weekend

August 23, 2019 Daulton Bahm Comments 0 Comment

Although Tropical Depression Chantal is very close to becoming a remnant low, the Atlantic likely won’t be entering a lull, as two disturbances have a shot at becoming tropical cyclones this weekend. The first, Invest 98L, is a trough of low pressure just east of South Florida, and is likely to become a tropical depression by Sunday as it moves northeastward. The second, Invest 99L, is a small area of low pressure over the central tropical Atlantic that is gradually…

Read More Read More

Tropics waking up: TS Chantal forms over the northern Atlantic, TD Ten-E forms in the east Pacific, another disturbance to watch

August 21, 2019 Daulton Bahm Comments 0 Comment

After a remarkably quiet August, the Atlantic and eastern Pacific basins both had a new tropical cyclone develop. Tropical Storm Chantal developed late last night over the far north Atlantic, and is no threat to land. Tropical Depression Ten-E has formed over the eastern Pacific and could become a hurricane late this week, but is expected to remain offshore the Baja California peninsula. Also in the Atlantic, an area of disturbed weather near the Bahamas could gradually develop into a…

Read More Read More

Erick gradually weakening, Flossie unexpectedly weakens to a tropical storm due to shear, tropical wave could develop east of the Lesser Antilles by early next week

July 31, 2019 Daulton Bahm Comments 0 Comment

Hurricanes Erick and Flossie over the eastern Pacific have both weakened since yesterday, with Flossie weakening to a tropical storm due to strong westerly shear. Erick should remain south of the Hawaiian Islands as it gradually weakens. Flossie could pass close to the islands in about 6 days or so, but marginal sea surface temperatures and increasing wind shear should weaken Flossie as it approaches from the east. In the Atlantic, a tropical wave has a strong chance to develop…

Read More Read More

Erick rapidly intensifies to Category 4, Flossie becomes a hurricane, two tropical waves to watch in the Atlantic

July 30, 2019 Daulton Bahm Comments 0 Comment

The tropics are heating up in both the Atlantic and Pacific, with multiple systems to watch in both basins. Hurricanes Erick and Flossie are currently active over the Pacific, and two tropical waves (including Invest 95L) over the tropical Atlantic warrant monitoring. Erick rapidly intensifies to a Category 4 hurricane, but likely to weaken as it remains south of the Hawaiian Islands Hurricane Erick has rapidly intensified into the second major hurricane of the 2019 Pacific hurricane season. As of…

Read More Read More

Cyclonic Fury’s July 2019 Atlantic hurricane season forecast: Slightly above average activity anticipated

July 30, 2019 Daulton Bahm Comments 0 Comment

The peak of the Atlantic hurricane season is quickly approaching. So far, the Atlantic basin has seen three tropical depressions and two named storms, including one minimal hurricane (Barry). Barry was the first July hurricane to make landfall in the United States since Arthur in 2014. Atlantic basin activity has been close to normal, though Barry reached hurricane strength about three weeks prior to the average date of the first hurricane formation in the Atlantic. Unlike the past two seasons,…

Read More Read More