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The GFS model runs for 384 hours, but do not trust the model beyond 240 hours: here is why
The American Global Forecast System (GFS) model is one of the most reliable models used by meteorologists to predict the tracks of…
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Uptick in African tropical wave activity likely next week, weak deep tropics development not out of the question
The CFSv2 and GFS models are consistent with showing an increase in upward motion in the eastern tropical Atlantic in about 7-10…
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A history of June tropical cyclones in the Atlantic
June is the first month of the Atlantic hurricane season, and is on average the least active of the six months that…
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A look at the Atlantic: June 3, 2017
Usually I release “A Look At The Atlantic” posts on Fridays, but with Beatriz, I had to delay this post until today.…
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Beatriz dissipates inland Mexico, responsible for three fatalities; regeneration in Gulf of Mexico not expected
Tropical Storm Beatriz made landfall Thursday afternoon in the Mexican state of Oaxaca around 4:00 PM local time. This morning, Beatriz rapidly weakened…
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Special Update: Tropical Depression Two-E upgraded to Tropical Storm Beatriz based on ASCAT data
At 1:00 PM CDT Thursday, the National Hurricane Center upgraded Tropical Depression Two-E in the East Pacific to Tropical Storm Beatriz. This…
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The 2017 Atlantic hurricane season officially begins today
Today is June 1, which marks the official start of the 2017 Atlantic hurricane season, which will run until November 30. It…
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Tropical Depression Two-E disorganized as it nears landfall in Mexico, no longer expected to become Tropical Storm Beatriz
Tropical Depression Two-E has taken a more northward path than originally expected yesterday, and is now expected to make landfall in the…
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Tropical Depression Two-E forms in East Pacific, forecast to strengthen but models remain divergent
At 11:00 a.m. Wednesday, the National Hurricane Center (NHC) initiated advisories on Tropical Depression Two-E south of Mexico in the East Pacific.…
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Special Update: Invest 91E organizing quickly, could become Tropical Depression Two-E as soon as tomorrow
Invest 91E has substantially improved in organization since this morning. The system has had persistent deep convection this afternoon, but the convective…
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Severe Cyclonic Storm Mora makes landfall, Invest 91E is born in East Pacific
Severe Cyclonic Storm Mora made landfall early Tuesday around 7:30 a.m. local time in southeastern Bangladesh. The storm had 1-minute sustained winds of 65 knots…
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Cyclonic Storm Mora expected to make landfall near Chittagong, Bangladesh, Tropical Depression could form Southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec this week
Cyclonic Storm Mora has strengthened slightly since yesterday over the Bay of Bengal. As of 12:00 UTC this morning, Mora had 1-minute maximum…