CYCLONIC FURY

TS Claudette moving away from the United States east coast, another disturbance to watch in the tropical Atlantic

June 21, 2021 Daulton Bahm Comments 0 Comment

The Atlantic basin remains fairly active for the month of June, with Claudette regaining tropical storm status off the United States east coast as it accelerates northeastward. In the central tropical Atlantic, there is a tropical wave with a low chance of development over the next two days, but only has a narrow window for potential development. As of 5:00 p.m. EDT Monday, Tropical Storm Claudette was centered near 37.5°N 72.1°W, and was moving east-northeastward at about 29 mph. Maximum…

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TS Claudette forms inland over Louisiana

June 19, 2021 Daulton Bahm Comments 0 Comment

A disturbance that had been monitored by the National Hurricane Center (NHC) for several days developed into Tropical Storm Claudette early Saturday morning, after moving inland into Louisiana. It is somewhat unusual to see tropical cyclones develop inland, but Claudette’s impacts would have not been much different regardless of its status. Claudette has already weakened from its peak intensity, and is likely going to continue to weaken for the next day or so as it moves northeastward. The main threat…

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TS Bill losing tropical characteristics, tropical depression likely to form over western Gulf late this week

June 15, 2021 Daulton Bahm Comments 0 Comment

The second named storm of the 2021 Atlantic hurricane season, Tropical Storm Bill, is beginning to lose tropical characteristics as it moves northeastward away from the warm waters of the Gulf Stream. In addition, Invest 92L over the Bay of Campeche is likely to become a tropical depression by late this week over the western Gulf of Mexico as it begins to lift northward. As of 11:00 a.m. EDT Tuesday, Tropical Storm Bill was centered near 40.5°N 62.0°W, and was…

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TD Two rapidly forms off the coast of North Carolina, watching Invest 92L and another tropical wave

June 14, 2021 Daulton Bahm Comments 0 Comment

Somewhat unexpectedly, a non-tropical area of low pressure off the United States east coast rapidly developed into Tropical Depression Two – the second tropical cyclone of the 2021 Atlantic hurricane season. In addition to TD Two, two other systems are currently being monitored in the Atlantic for tropical development: Invest 92L over the Bay of Campeche, and an early-season tropical wave over the far eastern tropical Atlantic. Tropical Storm Carlos remains active over the eastern Pacific, but poses no threat…

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Tropical Depression Three-E forms over the open eastern Pacific, Invest 92L in SW Gulf may develop over the next several days

June 12, 2021 Daulton Bahm Comments 0 Comment

The third tropical depression of the 2021 Pacific hurricane season, Tropical Depression Three-E, developed Saturday afternoon over the open eastern Pacific far from any land areas, and is likely to become a moderate to strong tropical storm without affecting any land. In the Atlantic, Invest 92L has been designated over the Bay of Campeche, which has a medium chance to develop over the next five days. A long-tracked disturbance (Invest 92E) over the eastern Pacific that was given a 90%…

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2021 Atlantic hurricane season officially begins; TS Blanca likely to weaken soon

June 1, 2021 Daulton Bahm Comments 0 Comment

Today is June 1, the official start date of the Atlantic hurricane season. As has been the case every year since 2015, a pre-season named storm has already developed – Tropical Storm Ana, which developed northeast of Bermuda in late May and had very minimal impact. While there are currently no active tropical cyclones or disturbances in the Atlantic, Tropical Storm Blanca is active over the eastern Pacific, but poses no threat to land and is likely to weaken soon….

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Cyclonic Fury’s May 2021 Atlantic hurricane season forecast: Above-normal season expected, but less active than 2020

May 25, 2021 Daulton Bahm Comments 0 Comment

The 2021 Atlantic hurricane season officially begins a week from today, June 1. However, we have already seen one named storm form: Tropical Storm Ana, which formed northeast of Bermuda on Saturday and became a remnant low late Sunday night. Ana’s formation marked the seventh straight year with a pre-season named storm in the Atlantic basin. While tropical cyclogenesis appears unlikely for at least the next 7-10 days in the Atlantic basin, Cyclonic Fury is forecasting yet another above-average Atlantic…

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Subtropical Storm Ana forms northeast of Bermuda, extending the Atlantic pre-season activity streak to seven straight years

May 22, 2021 Daulton Bahm Comments 0 Comment

On Saturday morning, the non-tropical area low pressure area located northeast of Bermuda acquired subtropical characteristics and sufficient deep convection to be classified as Subtropical Storm Ana, making 2021 the seventh straight year in which a pre-season named storm developed. Ana is moving away from Bermuda, is already weakening and is likely to become a remnant low on Sunday. As of 5:00 p.m. EDT, Subtropical Storm Ana was centered near 34.5°N 62.4°W, and was moving northeastward at about 5 mph….

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Invest 90L northeast of Bermuda likely to become subtropical storm by Saturday morning, Invest 91L in Gulf running out of time to develop

May 21, 2021 Daulton Bahm Comments 0 Comment

There continues to be two “Invests” – short for Area of Investigation – being monitored by the National Hurricane Center for potential tropical or subtropical development. Invest 90L is located northeast of Bermuda, and Invest 91L is located over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico. Both of the systems have developed well-defined circulation centers, but lack sufficient organized deep convection as of this time. It appears likely that the Atlantic will have at least one subtropical or tropical cyclone develop prior…

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Two pre-season Invests, 90L and 91L, to watch in the Atlantic

May 20, 2021 Daulton Bahm Comments 0 Comment

After a recent increase in tropical and subtropical activity in the month of May, the National Hurricane Center announced in February its plans to issue routine Tropical Weather Outlooks starting on May 15 in 2021. It appears to have been the right decision. There are now two areas of interest being monitored by the National Hurricane Center for potential development: Invest 90L in the western Atlantic, which has a high chance of development, and Invest 91L in the Gulf of…

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