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Tag: 2017 Atlantic hurricane season

Invest 94L likely to develop in Atlantic, three systems in East Pacific may develop, Nanmadol near Japan

Invest 94L likely to develop in Atlantic, three systems in East Pacific may develop, Nanmadol near Japan

Invest 94L – a broad area of low pressure located about 650 miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands – is likely to develop into a tropical cyclone later this week as it moves west-northwestward across the tropical Atlantic at about 5-10 mph. In the Eastern Pacific, three systems (including Invest 94E) have a chance of development this week as well. In the West Pacific, Severe Tropical Storm Nanmadol could pose a threat to Japan tomorrow. Invest 94L: Likely to…

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Tropical wave in Atlantic could develop, Invest 94E designated in East Pacific, Tropical Storm Nanmadol forms in West Pacific

Tropical wave in Atlantic could develop, Invest 94E designated in East Pacific, Tropical Storm Nanmadol forms in West Pacific

The Northern Hemisphere tropics are beginning to get active as they typically do in July. The Atlantic, East Pacific and West Pacific all have areas to watch this week. In the Atlantic, a tropical wave is located southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands and is being monitored for gradual development. In the East Pacific, there is potential for two tropical cyclones to form with Invest 94E and another tropical wave. In the West Pacific, Tropical Storm Nanmadol has formed in…

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A Look at the Atlantic: June 30, 2017

A Look at the Atlantic: June 30, 2017

It is Friday, and as always, that means it is time to take a look at the Atlantic! The Atlantic basin remains mostly quiet for the moment, with no active tropical cyclones or investigative areas. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is not anticipating any development over the next five days. However, several recent runs of the GFS model and its ensembles have been indicating the possibility of development of a tropical wave in the central tropical Atlantic during the next…

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Dora weakens to a remnant low, development in both Atlantic and East Pacific unlikely in near future

Dora weakens to a remnant low, development in both Atlantic and East Pacific unlikely in near future

Farewell, Dora The life of Hurricane Dora – the strongest tropical cyclone in the Northern Hemisphere so far in 2017 by wind speed – came to an end this morning. Dora became devoid of deep convection last night, and new convection did not redevelop. As a result, the National Hurricane Center (NHC) declared Dora a remnant low at 9:00 a.m. MDT (11:00 a.m. EDT) and terminated advisories. Dora is now just a swirl of low-level clouds, but a vigorous circulation…

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Dora weakens to a tropical storm, another East Pacific system, Chance of Atlantic MDR development decreasing

Dora weakens to a tropical storm, another East Pacific system, Chance of Atlantic MDR development decreasing

Tropical Storm Dora is feeling the effects of cooler sea surface temperatures, and has begun to weaken. Dora fell below hurricane strength this afternoon as deep convection has continued to decrease. Dora should continue to lose convection and become a remnant low by Thursday, if not sooner. Meanwhile, two other systems (one in the Atlantic and one in the East Pacific) both have a low chance of development over the next several days. Dora meeting its demise This morning, Dora…

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Dora peaks as a strong category 1 hurricane, two other systems to watch over coming days

Dora peaks as a strong category 1 hurricane, two other systems to watch over coming days

Tropical Storm Dora rapidly intensified last night to become the first hurricane of the 2017 Pacific hurricane season. Dora strengthened to a high-end category 1 hurricane this afternoon, but cooling sea surface temperatures are likely to induce a weakening trend beginning tonight. Dora should weaken to a remnant low by Thursday as it continues moving northwestward in the Eastern Pacific. Forecast for Dora As of 3:00 p.m. MDT (5:00 p.m. EDT), Hurricane Dora was centered in the Eastern Pacific near 17.8°N…

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A look at the Atlantic: June 23, 2017

A look at the Atlantic: June 23, 2017

For the first time in two weeks, it is Friday and the Atlantic has quieted down. That means it is time to take a look at the Atlantic. The Atlantic has quieted down after Tropical Storms Bret and Cindy. Cindy has transitioned into a post-tropical low this evening. The Atlantic is soon going to enter its normal “summer quiescence” with no development expected until at least mid-July. Due to a suppressed MJO phase, Atlantic activity during early July is not…

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Cindy makes landfall in Southwestern Louisiana, weakens to a Tropical Depression, heavy rainfall threat continues

Cindy makes landfall in Southwestern Louisiana, weakens to a Tropical Depression, heavy rainfall threat continues

Tropical Storm Cindy made landfall in Southwestern Louisiana around 4:00 AM CDT Thursday morning, west of the town of Cameron. Cindy at the time of landfall had maximum sustained winds of 35 knots (40 mph) with a minimum pressure of 994 mb. Since landfall, the appearance of Cindy has degraded, and Cindy has since been downgraded to a tropical depression. Cindy remains a tropical depression this evening, but advisories are now being issued by the Weather Prediction Center (WPC) instead…

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Gulf Coast, Southeast prepare for disorganized Tropical Storm Cindy

Gulf Coast, Southeast prepare for disorganized Tropical Storm Cindy

Tropical Storm Cindy remains disorganized today over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico. Cindy is expected to make landfall near the Texas-Louisiana border around 4:00 AM CDT (local time) Thursday. Cindy’s formation date of June 20 is nearly two months earlier than the climatological average date of the third named storm, August 13. However, it should be stressed that early-season Gulf of Mexico storms are not a strong indicator of the overall seasonal activity (but early-season development in the deep tropics,…

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Bret opens up into a wave, Tropical Storm Cindy expected to make landfall near the Texas-Louisiana border Thursday morning

Bret opens up into a wave, Tropical Storm Cindy expected to make landfall near the Texas-Louisiana border Thursday morning

The short life of Tropical Storm Bret came to an end Tuesday afternoon as the National Hurricane Center (NHC) downgraded it to a remnant low because it degenerated into a tropical wave. Meanwhile, Potential Tropical Cyclone Three was upgraded to Tropical Storm Cindy, the third named storm of the 2017 Atlantic hurricane season, and is forecast to make landfall near the Texas-Louisiana border and bring heavy rains to the Southeastern United States. Historic Tropical Storm Bret degenerates into a tropical…

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