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Tag: 2018 Atlantic hurricane season

Beryl falls apart, Tropical Depression Three expected to remain offshore and strengthen

Beryl falls apart, Tropical Depression Three expected to remain offshore and strengthen

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For the first time since 2011, the Atlantic basin has two tropical cyclones active at once in the month of July. Tiny Beryl, which was a hurricane yesterday, has quickly weakened today, and is now a poorly organized tropical storm with little deep convection remaining. This is good news for the Lesser Antilles, as Beryl is likely to remain weak when it passes the island instead of the potential hurricane predicted yesterday. In the western Atlantic, Tropical Depression Three is…

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Tiny Beryl rapidly intensifies into a hurricane, likely to impact the Leeward Islands, 96L likely to develop off the U.S. East Coast

Tiny Beryl rapidly intensifies into a hurricane, likely to impact the Leeward Islands, 96L likely to develop off the U.S. East Coast

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With the eastern Pacific quieting down, the Atlantic basin has become active, with Tropical Depression Two forming over the tropical Atlantic yesterday. The depression rapidly intensified into a tropical storm quickly after formation, and is now a Category 1 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale (SSHWS). Beryl is a tiny hurricane over the tropical Atlantic, and is likely to impact the Lesser Antilles as at least a tropical storm on Sunday night. In addition to Beryl, Invest 96L over…

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Tropical Depression Two forms over the deep tropical Atlantic, Fabio now a tropical storm over the eastern Pacific

Tropical Depression Two forms over the deep tropical Atlantic, Fabio now a tropical storm over the eastern Pacific

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The tropical wave over the central tropical Atlantic has acquired a small, closed circulation, and has maintained persistent deep convection for some time now. As a result, the National Hurricane Center (NHC) issued advisories on Tropical Depression Two. The depression may strengthen into Tropical Storm Beryl during the next day or two before encountering strong wind shear as it approaches the Lesser Antilles. In the eastern Pacific, Fabio is quickly weakening and is now a tropical storm. Tropical Depression Two…

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Fabio a Category 2 hurricane, two areas to watch in the Atlantic

Fabio a Category 2 hurricane, two areas to watch in the Atlantic

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Over the open eastern Pacific, Hurricane Fabio is likely peaking in intensity as a high-end Category 2 hurricane. A weakening trend is likely to commence for Fabio on Wednesday. The quiet period over the Atlantic basin is likely to end, with two disturbances with a chance of development over the next five days. The first, an area of disturbed weather near Bermuda, could gradually acquire some tropical characteristics later this week over the subtropical western Atlantic. The second – a…

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Fabio becomes a hurricane, low chance of weak development in the northern Gulf of Mexico

Fabio becomes a hurricane, low chance of weak development in the northern Gulf of Mexico

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Tropical Storm Fabio over the eastern Pacific has intensified into the third hurricane of the 2018 Pacific hurricane season today. An eye-like feature has recently become visible in satellite imagery, and Fabio could still become a major hurricane before reaching cooler waters later this week. Fabio is no threat to land. In the Atlantic, a surface trough is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the Northern Gulf of Mexico, but development into a tropical cyclone appears unlikely at this time….

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Daniel a remnant low, Emilia and Fabio likely to form later this week, watching off the East Coast for potential development

Daniel a remnant low, Emilia and Fabio likely to form later this week, watching off the East Coast for potential development

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A tropical cyclone outbreak is likely to begin in the eastern Pacific very soon. Tropical Storm Daniel has degenerated into a post-tropical remnant low, but two systems to the east of Daniel are expected to develop into tropical depressions by late this week, but should remain far from any land areas. In the Atlantic, we are continuing to watch the potential for a non-tropical low to gain tropical characteristics off the east coast of the United States later this week….

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Daniel weakening, two more Pacific tropical cyclones likely on the way, potential east coast development late this week?

Daniel weakening, two more Pacific tropical cyclones likely on the way, potential east coast development late this week?

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The 2018 Pacific hurricane season continues to have a hot start. While Tropical Storm Daniel has begun to weaken and should dissipate by Wednesday, two more named storms – Emilia and Fabio – are likely to develop over the eastern Pacific by the end of June. In the Atlantic, there are no disturbances that the National Hurricane Center (NHC) are monitoring for development, but some global models are hinting at the possibility of development off the United States east coast…

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Carlotta meandering near Mexico coast, Gulf disturbance poorly organized

Carlotta meandering near Mexico coast, Gulf disturbance poorly organized

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After a brief period of organization Saturday night in which an eyewall was visible in radar imagery, Tropical Storm Carlotta has weakened significantly this morning. The tiny tropical storm may not even make landfall in Mexico before it degenerates into a remnant low. In the Atlantic, the area of disturbed weather Gulf of Mexico remains poorly organized, and a low-level circulation does not exist. After Carlotta and this Gulf of Mexico disturbance, there should be a lull in activity over…

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TS Carlotta near the coast of Mexico, disturbance in the Gulf of Mexico may slightly develop

TS Carlotta near the coast of Mexico, disturbance in the Gulf of Mexico may slightly develop

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Tropical Storm Carlotta over the Eastern Pacific has moved slower than anticipated and remains offshore southern Mexico. In the Atlantic, a trough is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity near the Yucatan Peninsula, and has a low chance to develop into a tropical cyclone by Monday as it approaches the Texas coast. Carlotta remains offshore Mexico but likely to move inland tonight or early tomorrow As of 1:00 p.m. CDT (2:00 p.m. EDT) Saturday, Tropical Storm Carlotta was centered near…

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Bud a Tropical Depression, Four-E now TS Carlotta, a new Caribbean disturbance to watch

Bud a Tropical Depression, Four-E now TS Carlotta, a new Caribbean disturbance to watch

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Now a tropical depression, once-powerful Bud is barely holding on to its status as a tropical cyclone over the narrow Gulf of California. To the east of Bud, Tropical Depression Four-E has strengthened into Tropical Storm Carlotta, and is expected to make landfall in the Mexican state of Guerrero or Oaxaca early Saturday morning. In the Atlantic, a sharp surface trough has developed near the northeastern tip of the Yucatan Peninsula, and is expected to merge with the remnants of…

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