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Tag: 2018 Atlantic hurricane season

TS Bud headed for Baja California Sur, another eastern Pacific tropical depression

TS Bud headed for Baja California Sur, another eastern Pacific tropical depression

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The active period in the eastern Pacific continues. Tropical Storm Bud is approaching Baja California Sur this evening, and is expected to make two landfalls (one in Baja California Sur late tonight and a second along the coast of Mainland Mexico late Friday night as a tropical depression). To the east of Bud, a new tropical depression has developed, the fourth of the season for the eastern Pacific basin. In the Atlantic, Invest 91L is little threat to develop, but…

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Bud weakens to a tropical storm, 93E may develop, 91L unlikely to develop

Bud weakens to a tropical storm, 93E may develop, 91L unlikely to develop

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Hurricane Bud weakened to a tropical storm on Wednesday morning as it tracked northwestward over cooler waters. Bud should continue to gradually weaken over the next couple of days as it approaches the Baja California peninsula. To the east of Bud, an area of low pressure has developed (designated Invest 93E) and could gradually develop into a tropical depression by Saturday. Invest 91L remains active over the Northwestern Caribbean, but is unlikely to develop into a tropical cyclone due to…

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Bud begins to weaken, Invest 91L unlikely to develop over Northwestern Caribbean, another Pacific disturbance

Bud begins to weaken, Invest 91L unlikely to develop over Northwestern Caribbean, another Pacific disturbance

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After peaking as a Category 4 hurricane during the early morning hours Tuesday, Hurricane Bud over the eastern Pacific has begun to weaken this afternoon as it moves over cooler waters. Now a low-end Category 3 hurricane, continued weakening is expected for Bud over the next few days before it becomes a post-tropical remnant low by Saturday. In addition to Bud, there is a disturbance to watch over the Caribbean (Invest 91L) and another potential eastern Pacific system. As of…

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Bud a major hurricane, Aletta dissipates, a Caribbean disturbance to watch

Bud a major hurricane, Aletta dissipates, a Caribbean disturbance to watch

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Hurricane Bud over the Eastern Pacific rapidly intensified overnight into the second major hurricane of the 2018 Pacific hurricane season. Bud is now a Category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, and some Dvorak estimates suggest it may be even stronger. To the west of Bud, Tropical Storm Aletta has degenerated into a post-tropical remnant low. In the Atlantic basin, there is a disturbance in the Western Caribbean Sea that has a low chance of tropical development by…

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Bud rapidly develops into a hurricane, Aletta hanging on as a tropical storm

Bud rapidly develops into a hurricane, Aletta hanging on as a tropical storm

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After being only a tropical depression 24 hours ago, Hurricane Bud has rapidly developed over the far eastern Pacific and is expected to continue intensifying for the next 24-36 hours or so. To the west of Bud, Aletta continues to hang on as a tropical storm. As of 4:00 p.m. CDT (5:00 p.m. EDT) Sunday, Hurricane Bud was centered near 15.3°N 104.2°W, and was moving northwestward at 9 mph. Maximum sustained winds were 65 knots (75 mph), with an estimated minimum…

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Aletta vaults to a Category 4 hurricane, 92E expected to develop

Aletta vaults to a Category 4 hurricane, 92E expected to develop

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Unexpectedly, Hurricane Aletta over the eastern Pacific underwent a remarkable period of rapid intensification overnight, and is now a Category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Although some slight additional intensification cannot be ruled out, Aletta is likely close to its peak intensity and weakening should commence tonight or early tomorrow. Aletta remains no threat to land. To the east of Aletta, Invest 92E has been designated, and is expected to develop into a tropical depression this weekend…

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Aletta becomes a hurricane, Bud likely to follow; Caribbean and Gulf may warrant monitoring next week

Aletta becomes a hurricane, Bud likely to follow; Caribbean and Gulf may warrant monitoring next week

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The eastern Pacific remains very active. Tropical Storm Aletta strengthened into the first hurricane of the 2018 Pacific hurricane season Thursday afternoon, and is likely to strengthen a little more as it moves west-northwestward away from land. To the east of Aletta, a tropical wave is likely to develop into a new Eastern Pacific tropical cyclone by Sunday. The Atlantic basin remains quiet for now, but the GFS, UKMET and CMC models are all indicating that the Northwestern Caribbean and…

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Tropical Storm Aletta forms over the eastern Pacific, disturbance behind also likely to develop

Tropical Storm Aletta forms over the eastern Pacific, disturbance behind also likely to develop

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The first named storm of the 2018 Pacific hurricane season, Tropical Storm Aletta, was named Wednesday morning. Aletta is likely to intensify into a hurricane away from land by the weekend, although the intensity guidance has backed off on intensification a bit. To the east of Aletta is another tropical wave that has a high chance to develop into a tropical cyclone by Sunday. The Atlantic basin remains quiet for the moment, although some models are indicating the possibility of…

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The 2018 Atlantic hurricane season officially begins today

The 2018 Atlantic hurricane season officially begins today

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Today is June 1, which marks the official start of the 2018 Atlantic hurricane season, which will run for 183 days until November 30. It should be noted that we recently had Subtropical Storm Alberto in late May, so the season has already started. The 6-month period from June 1 to November 30 accounts for roughly 97 percent of all tropical cyclone activity in the Atlantic Ocean. Activity sharply peaks around September 10, with a secondary peak around October 20….

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Alberto weakens to a Subtropical Depression, tropics expected to be quiet for at least the next week

Alberto weakens to a Subtropical Depression, tropics expected to be quiet for at least the next week

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Subtropical Storm Alberto weakened to a Subtropical Depression on Monday night, and has continued to slowly weaken this morning. The center of Alberto is currently moving through central Alabama, and the heavy rainfall threat continues. Flash Flood Watches remain in effect for portions of Alabama, Georgia, Tennessee, and Kentucky. As of 10:00 a.m. CDT (11:00 a.m. EDT) Tuesday, Subtropical Depression Alberto was centered near 33.8°N 87.2°W, and was moving northward at about 12 mph. Maximum sustained winds were 25 knots…

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