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Tag: 2018 Pacific hurricane season

Leslie a Category 1 hurricane, development possible in NW Caribbean or Gulf by early next week, Sergio and Walaka in the Pacific

Leslie a Category 1 hurricane, development possible in NW Caribbean or Gulf by early next week, Sergio and Walaka in the Pacific

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Although the northern hemisphere tropics begin to slowly wind down in the month of October, there is still plenty of activity to discuss today. In the Atlantic, Hurricane Leslie is barely hanging onto hurricane status as it begins to turn to the north over the central Atlantic. A Central American Gyre (CAG) may also help spawn the development of a new tropical cyclone in the Northwestern Caribbean or Gulf of Mexico by early next week. In the Pacific, Hurricanes Sergio…

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Florence significantly weaker but expected to restrengthen, 92L and 93L likely to become Helene and Isaac

Florence significantly weaker but expected to restrengthen, 92L and 93L likely to become Helene and Isaac

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Due to strong wind shear, Hurricane Florence has become much less organized today, weakening into a Category 1 hurricane. Florence is likely to fall below hurricane strength tonight or early tomorrow, but is likely to begin restrengthening by Saturday as it enters a more favorable environment. Florence is expected to pass south of Bermuda next Tuesday, though direct impacts are still possible to the small island. It is a possibility that Florence could impact the United States East Coast, though…

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Florence slightly weaker, 91L likely to develop in eastern Gulf of Mexico, Norman and Olivia spinning in the eastern Pacific

Florence slightly weaker, 91L likely to develop in eastern Gulf of Mexico, Norman and Olivia spinning in the eastern Pacific

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As we near the peak of hurricane season, the tropical Atlantic and eastern Pacific are both quite active today. Tropical Storm Florence over the eastern tropical Atlantic has weakened slightly this morning as its low-level circulation has become exposed.  Invest 91L, currently located near the Bahamas, is likely to develop into a tropical cyclone over the eastern Gulf of Mexico in a couple days. In the eastern Pacific, Hurricane Norman has re-attained Category 4 hurricane status, while Tropical Storm Olivia…

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Potential Tropical Cyclone Six expected to develop, an Atlantic tropical wave to watch, Norman a Category 4 hurricane in the Eastern Pacific

Potential Tropical Cyclone Six expected to develop, an Atlantic tropical wave to watch, Norman a Category 4 hurricane in the Eastern Pacific

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The tropics are very active today in both the Atlantic and Eastern Pacific. In the tropical Atlantic, a tropical wave which has just exited the coast of Africa has been designated Potential Tropical Cyclone Six and Tropical Storm Warnings have been issued for parts of the Cabo Verde Islands. This wave should develop into Tropical Storm Florence on Friday, and could become a hurricane as it moves west-northwestward by late this weekend. There is also a tropical wave currently being…

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Lane still a Category 4 hurricane; Big Island, Maui and Oahu under a Hurricane Warning

Lane still a Category 4 hurricane; Big Island, Maui and Oahu under a Hurricane Warning

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Despite increasing wind shear, Hurricane Lane is only slowly weakening and is still a Category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Lane is expected to make its closest approach to the islands tomorrow, though it is possible that the hurricane does not even make landfall. Even if Lane does not make landfall, heavy rainfall and strong winds are likely. Lane still a Category 4 hurricane but expected to weaken as it passes west of Hawaii As of 11:00…

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Hurricane Warnings for Hawai’i and Maui as Hurricane Lane approaches the Hawaiian Islands, Atlantic may awaken soon

Hurricane Warnings for Hawai’i and Maui as Hurricane Lane approaches the Hawaiian Islands, Atlantic may awaken soon

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Hurricane Lane, which reached peak intensity early this morning as a rare Category 5 hurricane over the Central Pacific, has weakened to a Category 4 hurricane this afternoon but remains a very powerful hurricane. Lane, the strongest Central Pacific hurricane since Ioke in 2006, continues to pose a serious threat to the Hawaiian Islands even if the center of the storm does not make landfall. Lane a Category 4 but still very powerful As of 11:00 a.m. HST (5:00 p.m….

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Lane intensifies into a Category 4 hurricane as it nears the Central Pacific basin

Lane intensifies into a Category 4 hurricane as it nears the Central Pacific basin

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The Atlantic basin has gone quiet with the post-tropical transition of Tropical Storm Ernesto, but Hurricane Lane in the eastern Pacific Ocean has intensified into a Category 4 hurricane. Lane is the fourth major hurricane of the 2018 Pacific hurricane season, and the fourth Category 4 hurricane of the season. Lane is likely to remain a powerful hurricane over the next few days, though fluctuations in intensity are likely as with most major hurricanes. As of 8:00 a.m. PDT (11:00…

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Ernesto holding on as a tropical storm, Lane a Category 2 hurricane, 99L not expected to develop

Ernesto holding on as a tropical storm, Lane a Category 2 hurricane, 99L not expected to develop

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Tropical Storm Ernesto is holding on as a tropical storm over the Northeastern Atlantic despite cold sea surface temperatures, but should transition into a post-tropical cyclone tonight. In the eastern Pacific, Lane has intensified into a Category 2 hurricane, and some additional intensification is likely over the next day or two as it heads for the Central Pacific. As of 5:00 p.m. EDT Friday, Tropical Storm Ernesto was centered near 49.1°N 29.8°W, and was moving northeastward at about 31 mph….

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Ernesto and Lane gain strength, Invest 99L has a low chance to develop

Ernesto and Lane gain strength, Invest 99L has a low chance to develop

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Subtropical Storm Ernesto over the Northern Atlantic and Tropical Storm Lane over the eastern Pacific have both intensified since yesterday. Ernesto is likely to become a post-tropical cyclone on Friday, while Lane is likely to continue to strengthen and become a major hurricane as it enters the Central Pacific. In the tropical Atlantic, a tropical wave, Invest 99L, has a low chance to develop into a weak tropical cyclone as it approaches the Windward Islands this weekend. Ernesto slightly stronger…

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Subtropical Storm Ernesto forms over the Northern Atlantic, TS Lane expected to become a major hurricane in the central Pacific

Subtropical Storm Ernesto forms over the Northern Atlantic, TS Lane expected to become a major hurricane in the central Pacific

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The strange 2018 Atlantic hurricane season continues. Subtropical Storm Ernesto has formed over the Northern Atlantic, the fifth named storm of the 2018 Atlantic hurricane season. Ernesto is the fourth named storm this season to have subtropical characteristics at some point during its life. Ernesto has developed more than two weeks before the average fifth named storm in the Atlantic basin (August 31). Now that we are in mid-August, we are entering the peak of the Atlantic hurricane season. The…

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