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Tag: 2019 Pacific hurricane season

Atlantic heating up: Invests 98L and 99L could develop this weekend

Atlantic heating up: Invests 98L and 99L could develop this weekend

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Although Tropical Depression Chantal is very close to becoming a remnant low, the Atlantic likely won’t be entering a lull, as two disturbances have a shot at becoming tropical cyclones this weekend. The first, Invest 98L, is a trough of low pressure just east of South Florida, and is likely to become a tropical depression by Sunday as it moves northeastward. The second, Invest 99L, is a small area of low pressure over the central tropical Atlantic that is gradually…

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Tropics waking up: TS Chantal forms over the northern Atlantic, TD Ten-E forms in the east Pacific, another disturbance to watch

Tropics waking up: TS Chantal forms over the northern Atlantic, TD Ten-E forms in the east Pacific, another disturbance to watch

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After a remarkably quiet August, the Atlantic and eastern Pacific basins both had a new tropical cyclone develop. Tropical Storm Chantal developed late last night over the far north Atlantic, and is no threat to land. Tropical Depression Ten-E has formed over the eastern Pacific and could become a hurricane late this week, but is expected to remain offshore the Baja California peninsula. Also in the Atlantic, an area of disturbed weather near the Bahamas could gradually develop into a…

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TS Erick forms over the eastern Pacific, Hawaii threat uncertain

TS Erick forms over the eastern Pacific, Hawaii threat uncertain

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Update 2:15 p.m. PDT: TD Six-E has been upgraded to Tropical Storm Erick by the NHC. Tropical Depression Six-E over the eastern Pacific is close to intensifying into a tropical storm. As of 11:00 a.m. HST (5:00 p.m. EDT), Tropical Depression Six-E was centered near 11.6°N 125.3°W, and was moving westward at about 18 mph. Maximum sustained winds were 30 knots (35 mph), with an estimated minimum pressure of 1006 mb. A recently-arrived ASCAT-C pass suggests Six-E is close to…

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Barbara post-tropical, TS Cosme forms, Gulf of Mexico needs to be watched next week

Barbara post-tropical, TS Cosme forms, Gulf of Mexico needs to be watched next week

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Hurricane Barbara has transitioned into a post-tropical cyclone, but a new tropical storm has formed in the eastern Pacific – Cosme. Cosme is no threat to land, and appears to have a short life ahead of it with no significant strengthening. However, in the Atlantic, a trough currently inland over the United States could eventually spawn a low pressure system in the Gulf of Mexico next week, which needs to be watched for possible tropical development. As of 8:00 a.m….

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Barbara rapidly intensifies into a Category 4 hurricane, but expected to weaken soon

Barbara rapidly intensifies into a Category 4 hurricane, but expected to weaken soon

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Hurricane Barbara rapidly intensified into the first major hurricane of the 2019 Pacific hurricane season Tuesday morning by reaching Category 4 on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Barbara reached Category 4 intensity less than 48 hours after being named on Sunday. Some slight intensification is possible tonight, but a gradual weakening trend is likely to begin Wednesday as Barbara moves toward cooler waters and increasing wind shear. Barbara is no imminent threat to land. As of 11:00 a.m. HST (5:00…

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TD One-E forms over the eastern Pacific, no threat to land

TD One-E forms over the eastern Pacific, no threat to land

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After a 232-day tropical cyclone drought, a tropical cyclone has formed in the eastern Pacific basin. A small area of low pressure developed into Tropical Depression One-E today, making it the latest-forming first tropical depression in the basin since reliable records began in 1971. One-E is likely to become a tropical storm, but is likely to be short-lived as it encounters unfavorable conditions later this week. As of 2:00 p.m. PDT (5:00 p.m. EDT), Tropical Depression One-E was centered near…

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Invest 91E may develop over the far eastern Pacific if it remains offshore

Invest 91E may develop over the far eastern Pacific if it remains offshore

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A broad area of low pressure, re-designated Invest 91E, continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms off the Nicaragua coast. This system should remain nearly stationary and perhaps meander slightly over the next several days, and could develop into a tropical cyclone if it does not move inland into Central America. As of 18:00 UTC Wednesday, Invest 91E was located near 11.8°N 87.3°W. Maximum sustained winds were 25 knots (30 mph), with an estimated minimum pressure of 1006 mb. Invest…

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Awakening tropics: 91E in Eastern Pacific could slowly develop, system near the Bahamas may acquire subtropical characteristics next week

Awakening tropics: 91E in Eastern Pacific could slowly develop, system near the Bahamas may acquire subtropical characteristics next week

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There are two systems to currently watch in the tropics: one in the Atlantic, and one in the eastern Pacific. The eastern Pacific season began three days ago, but the Atlantic hurricane season does not officially begin for two more weeks. Both are given a medium (40%) chance of development by the National Hurricane Center (NHC) over the next five days. As of 18:00 UTC Saturday, Invest 91E was centered near 12.4°N 93.4°W, and was moving little. Maximum sustained winds…

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Invest 91E may slowly develop over the eastern Pacific

Invest 91E may slowly develop over the eastern Pacific

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It is only the second day of the 2019 Pacific hurricane season, and there has already been a system designated an “Invest” by the National Hurricane Center (NHC). An Invest – short for area of investigation – is an area of disturbed weather that the NHC believes has a chance of tropical cyclone development. A disorganized area of disturbed weather, Invest 91E, may slowly develop over the next several days as it moves little. As of 12:00 UTC May 16,…

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Cyclonic Fury’s 2019 Pacific hurricane season forecast: Potentially well above-average activity expected

Cyclonic Fury’s 2019 Pacific hurricane season forecast: Potentially well above-average activity expected

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Today is May 15, the official start of the Eastern Pacific hurricane season. No tropical cyclones have developed yet in this basin in 2019; 2017 featured the pre-season Tropical Storm Adrian and 2018 featured the pre-season Tropical Depression One-E. The Eastern and Central Pacific is coming off a record-breaking 2018 season which featured 23 named storms, 13 hurricanes, 10 major hurricanes, 3 Category 5 hurricanes, and a record-high 318 Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) units. With a weak El Nino event…

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