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Tropical Storm Ida forms over the Northwestern Caribbean – a significant hurricane threat to the northern Gulf Coast

Tropical Storm Ida forms over the Northwestern Caribbean – a significant hurricane threat to the northern Gulf Coast

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The ninth tropical storm of the 2021 Atlantic hurricane season, Tropical Storm Ida, was named Thursday evening over the northwestern Caribbean Sea. Ida has a very favorable environment for significant intensification over the next several days. The global model consensus indicates that Ida is likely to become a powerful hurricane over the central Gulf of Mexico, with significant deepening likely up until around the time of landfall. In addition to Ida, both Invests 97L and 98L have potential to develop…

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Tropical Storm Henri weakens after it makes landfall in western Rhode Island

Tropical Storm Henri weakens after it makes landfall in western Rhode Island

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Tropical Storm Henri, which became a minimal hurricane on Saturday, made landfall near Westerly, Rhode Island around 12:15 p.m. EDT Sunday. Maximum sustained winds at landfall were estimated to be 50 knots (60 mph), with an estimated minimum pressure of 989 mb. Since that time, Henri has weakened quickly as it has moved inland. As of 5:00 p.m. EDT Sunday, Tropical Storm Henri was centered near 41.6°N 72.4°W, and was moving west-northwestward at about 7 mph. Maximum sustained winds were…

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Hurricane Grace strengthening over the Bay of Campeche, TS Henri expected to hit New England as a hurricane

Hurricane Grace strengthening over the Bay of Campeche, TS Henri expected to hit New England as a hurricane

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The Atlantic basin remains active with two tropical cyclones. Hurricane Grace is strengthening over the Bay of Campeche, and is likely to make landfall in northern Veracruz, Mexico early Saturday morning. In addition, Tropical Storm Henri is still expected to become a hurricane, and has a chance to become the first fully tropical hurricane to make landfall in the New England region since Hurricane Bob in 1991. As of 4:00 p.m. CDT (5:00 p.m. EDT) Friday, Hurricane Grace was centered…

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Grace becomes the second hurricane of the season as it nears the Yucatan Peninsula, TS Henri a potential threat to New England by Monday

Grace becomes the second hurricane of the season as it nears the Yucatan Peninsula, TS Henri a potential threat to New England by Monday

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Tropical Storm Grace intensified into the second hurricane of the 2021 Atlantic hurricane season Tuesday morning, and some additional intensification is likely before it makes landfall along the northern Yucatan Peninsula early Thursday morning. In addition, Tropical Storm Henri is close to becoming a hurricane, and models are suggesting that it may now pose a threat to New England by early next week. As of 5:00 p.m. EDT Wednesday, Hurricane Grace was centered near 19.7°N 83.7°W, and was moving west-northwestward…

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TS Fred makes landfall in eastern Florida Panhandle, Grace a tropical depression but likely to restrengthen, TS Henri forms southeast of Bermuda

TS Fred makes landfall in eastern Florida Panhandle, Grace a tropical depression but likely to restrengthen, TS Henri forms southeast of Bermuda

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The Atlantic basin continues to get more active as the peak of the hurricane season draws closer. Tropical Storm Fred made landfall near Cape San Blas, Florida around 2:15 p.m. CDT (3:15 p.m. EDT), with maximum sustained winds near 65 mph and a minimum pressure of 994 mb. While Fred is likely to dissipate in a couple of days, Tropical Depression Grace is likely to regain strength, potentially becoming a hurricane later this week in the southern Gulf of Mexico….

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TS Grace enters the Caribbean Sea, Fred expected to redevelop Sunday in Gulf of Mexico

TS Grace enters the Caribbean Sea, Fred expected to redevelop Sunday in Gulf of Mexico

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The Atlantic basin remains active, with Tropical Storm Grace entering the Caribbean Sea as well as the remnants of Tropical Storm Fred are expected to re-develop into a tropical depression by Sunday. In addition, there is an area of low pressure north of Bermuda being monitored for potential tropical development. As of 8:00 p.m. EDT Saturday, Tropical Storm Grace was located near 16.6°N 61.5°W, and was moving westward at about 23 mph. Maximum sustained winds were 35 knots (40 mph),…

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TS Fred inland over Hispaniola, Invest 95L may develop over the next few days

TS Fred inland over Hispaniola, Invest 95L may develop over the next few days

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Late Tuesday night, a tropical wave over the northeastern Caribbean Sea developed into Tropical Storm Fred, the sixth named storm of the 2021 Atlantic hurricane season. Fred’s formation ends a lull of Atlantic tropical cyclone activity that lasted over a month. Fred’s formation date is still significantly earlier than the average sixth Atlantic named storm, but is over a month later than Tropical Storm Fay’s formation on July 9 last year. As of 5:00 p.m. EDT Wednesday, Tropical Storm Fred…

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Potential Tropical Cyclone Six likely to become tropical storm near the Leeward Islands

Potential Tropical Cyclone Six likely to become tropical storm near the Leeward Islands

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After a month without any tropical cyclones active, the Atlantic basin is once again starting to get more active as the climatological peak of the season gets closer. A tropical wave approaching the Lesser Antilles, which the National Hurricane Center (NHC) has designated Potential Tropical Cyclone Six, has a high chance to become the Atlantic’s next tropical storm. As of 5:00 p.m. EDT Monday, Potential Tropical Cyclone Six was centered near 14.2°N 59.2°W, and was moving westward at about 15…

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Cyclonic Fury’s final 2021 Atlantic hurricane season forecast: Very active season expected, but less active than 2020

Cyclonic Fury’s final 2021 Atlantic hurricane season forecast: Very active season expected, but less active than 2020

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The 2021 Atlantic hurricane season got off to a very fast start, with Tropical Storm Ana forming in May, Tropical Storms Bill, Claudette and Danny in June, and Hurricane Elsa in early July. Elsa was the earliest hurricane to form in the Atlantic deep tropics east of the Lesser Antilles of the satellite era, and passed near Barbados as a hurricane. Elsa made several landfalls along its path through the Caribbean, and eventually made landfall in northwestern Florida as a…

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Invest 90L could develop into a tropical depression before moving inland into Florida

Invest 90L could develop into a tropical depression before moving inland into Florida

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Invest 90L, an area of low pressure that has developed along a decaying frontal boundary, has a medium chance to become the next tropical depression of the 2021 Atlantic hurricane season. After Hurricane Elsa at the start of this month, the Atlantic basin has been quiet, though this is typical for the month of July, which averages about one named storm a year. As of 18:00 UTC Saturday, Invest 90L was centered near 29.0°N 77.4°W. Maximum sustained winds were 30…

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