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Tag: 2023 Atlantic hurricane season

Arlene weakens to tropical depression, expected to dissipate later today

Arlene weakens to tropical depression, expected to dissipate later today

Tropical Storm Arlene weakened to a depression this morning as it drifts south-southeastward over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico. As of 10:00 a.m. CDT (11:00 a.m. EDT), Tropical Depression Arlene was centered near 24.2°N 85.1°W, and was moving south-southeastward at about 7 mph. Maximum sustained winds were 30 knots (35 mph), with an estimated minimum pressure of 1000 mb. Arlene is already nearly devoid of convection, and will likely degenerate into a remnant low this evening. Aside from Arlene, there…

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Tropical Storm Arlene forms over the northeastern Gulf of Mexico, likely to be short-lived

Tropical Storm Arlene forms over the northeastern Gulf of Mexico, likely to be short-lived

An area of low pressure over the northeastern Gulf of Mexico developed into Tropical Depression Two yesterday afternoon, and this afternoon it has strengthened into Tropical Storm Arlene – the first named storm of the season. It should be noted, however, that Arlene is technically not the first sub(tropical) cyclone of the season, as an unnamed subtropical storm developed in January. As of 1:00 p.m. CDT (2:00 p.m. EDT), Tropical Storm Arlene was centered near 26.7°N 86.2°W, and was moving…

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2023 Atlantic hurricane season officially begins; Invest 91L could develop in the eastern Gulf of Mexico

2023 Atlantic hurricane season officially begins; Invest 91L could develop in the eastern Gulf of Mexico

Today, June 1st, marks the official start of the 2023 Atlantic hurricane season, and right on time, there is a system with a serious chance of tropical development. The 2023 Atlantic hurricane season is shaping up to be a very unique one, with near-record warmth over the tropical Atlantic in spite of a a developing El Niño. I will provide more thoughts on the season as a whole in my forecast update next Tuesday. Among expert forecasters, there has been…

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Cyclonic Fury’s preliminary 2023 Atlantic hurricane forecast: Quieter season expected due to potential El Niño

Cyclonic Fury’s preliminary 2023 Atlantic hurricane forecast: Quieter season expected due to potential El Niño

In just over two months, the 2023 Atlantic hurricane season will begin. The 2022 season was somewhat quieter than recent seasons, but still was quite impactful. Since 2016, the Atlantic basin has had at least 14 named storms, 6 hurricanes and 2 major hurricanes each year, with not one below-average season during this timeframe. There is an increasing chance that streak could end this year as El Niño chances appear to be increasing for this summer and fall. El Niño…

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