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Tag: Active Tropics

Hurricane Warnings for Hawai’i and Maui as Hurricane Lane approaches the Hawaiian Islands, Atlantic may awaken soon

Hurricane Warnings for Hawai’i and Maui as Hurricane Lane approaches the Hawaiian Islands, Atlantic may awaken soon

Hurricane Lane, which reached peak intensity early this morning as a rare Category 5 hurricane over the Central Pacific, has weakened to a Category 4 hurricane this afternoon but remains a very powerful hurricane. Lane, the strongest Central Pacific hurricane since Ioke in 2006, continues to pose a serious threat to the Hawaiian Islands even if the center of the storm does not make landfall. Lane a Category 4 but still very powerful As of 11:00 a.m. HST (5:00 p.m….

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Lane intensifies into a Category 4 hurricane as it nears the Central Pacific basin

Lane intensifies into a Category 4 hurricane as it nears the Central Pacific basin

The Atlantic basin has gone quiet with the post-tropical transition of Tropical Storm Ernesto, but Hurricane Lane in the eastern Pacific Ocean has intensified into a Category 4 hurricane. Lane is the fourth major hurricane of the 2018 Pacific hurricane season, and the fourth Category 4 hurricane of the season. Lane is likely to remain a powerful hurricane over the next few days, though fluctuations in intensity are likely as with most major hurricanes. As of 8:00 a.m. PDT (11:00…

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Ernesto holding on as a tropical storm, Lane a Category 2 hurricane, 99L not expected to develop

Ernesto holding on as a tropical storm, Lane a Category 2 hurricane, 99L not expected to develop

Tropical Storm Ernesto is holding on as a tropical storm over the Northeastern Atlantic despite cold sea surface temperatures, but should transition into a post-tropical cyclone tonight. In the eastern Pacific, Lane has intensified into a Category 2 hurricane, and some additional intensification is likely over the next day or two as it heads for the Central Pacific. As of 5:00 p.m. EDT Friday, Tropical Storm Ernesto was centered near 49.1°N 29.8°W, and was moving northeastward at about 31 mph….

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Ernesto and Lane gain strength, Invest 99L has a low chance to develop

Ernesto and Lane gain strength, Invest 99L has a low chance to develop

Subtropical Storm Ernesto over the Northern Atlantic and Tropical Storm Lane over the eastern Pacific have both intensified since yesterday. Ernesto is likely to become a post-tropical cyclone on Friday, while Lane is likely to continue to strengthen and become a major hurricane as it enters the Central Pacific. In the tropical Atlantic, a tropical wave, Invest 99L, has a low chance to develop into a weak tropical cyclone as it approaches the Windward Islands this weekend. Ernesto slightly stronger…

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Subtropical Storm Ernesto forms over the Northern Atlantic, TS Lane expected to become a major hurricane in the central Pacific

Subtropical Storm Ernesto forms over the Northern Atlantic, TS Lane expected to become a major hurricane in the central Pacific

The strange 2018 Atlantic hurricane season continues. Subtropical Storm Ernesto has formed over the Northern Atlantic, the fifth named storm of the 2018 Atlantic hurricane season. Ernesto is the fourth named storm this season to have subtropical characteristics at some point during its life. Ernesto has developed more than two weeks before the average fifth named storm in the Atlantic basin (August 31). Now that we are in mid-August, we are entering the peak of the Atlantic hurricane season. The…

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98L over subtropical Atlantic may acquire subtropical characteristics, 97E in eastern Pacific expected to develop

98L over subtropical Atlantic may acquire subtropical characteristics, 97E in eastern Pacific expected to develop

There are currently no active tropical cyclones in the Atlantic or eastern Pacific basins, but there is a low pressure system that may develop in each basin. In the Atlantic, a non-tropical low (Invest 98L) is developing a new center of circulation and could gradually acquire subtropical characteristics by early Thursday. In the eastern Pacific, a well-defined low pressure system (Invest 97E) is likely to develop into a tropical depression over the next day or two as it tracks westward…

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Hector now a hurricane, two more areas of interest in the eastern Pacific

Hector now a hurricane, two more areas of interest in the eastern Pacific

Tropical Storm Hector intensified into the fourth hurricane of the 2018 Pacific hurricane season early Thursday. Hector is the first hurricane to form in the east Pacific basin since Fabio in early July. Hector is likely to intensify into a major hurricane as it tracks generally westward over the next several days. It is too soon to determine if Hector will have direct impacts in Hawaii. As of 8:00 a.m. PDT (11:00 a.m. EDT) Thursday, Hurricane Hector was centered near…

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Invests 91E, 92E likely to develop soon over the eastern Pacific

Invests 91E, 92E likely to develop soon over the eastern Pacific

Two areas of low pressure over the eastern Pacific basin are becoming better organized today and are close to developing into tropical depressions. The eastern Pacific has not yet seen a new tropical cyclone form this July, which is extremely unusual. This is somewhat surprising for what was anticipated to be a very active or even possibly hyperactive season by experts, since July is normally one of the most active months in the eastern Pacific. Behind 91E and 92E, another…

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A line of Pacific disturbances that pose no land threat

A line of Pacific disturbances that pose no land threat

There continues to be no new tropical cyclones active in either the Atlantic or Eastern Pacific basins. However, there are three areas of disturbed weather currently being monitored for development in the Eastern Pacific and one in the Central Pacific. The easternmost disturbance, which has not yet formed, is expected to develop into a low pressure system by early next week. The UKMET and ECMWF models both develop this system into a tropical depression by late Wednesday as it moves…

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Two non-threatening, low-chance disturbances in the Pacific

Two non-threatening, low-chance disturbances in the Pacific

Overall, the tropics are quiet today in the Atlantic and eastern Pacific. There are, however, two low-chance disturbances in the eastern and central Pacific, but neither poses any threat to land. The first of the two disturbances, Invest 91C over the central Pacific, has become less organized since yesterday. As of 18:00 UTC Tuesday, Invest 91C was located near 14.2°N 146.9°W, and was moving generally westward. Maximum sustained winds were 25 knots (30 mph), with an estimated minimum pressure of…

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