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Tropical Storm Don forms in Atlantic, East Pacific remains active

Tropical Storm Don forms in Atlantic, East Pacific remains active

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Invest 95L quickly developed into Tropical Storm Don Monday afternoon east of the Windward Islands, continuing the fast start to the 2017 Atlantic hurricane season. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter identified a small but well-defined low-level circulation. Don is the fourth named storm of the 2017 Atlantic hurricane season; the average date for the formation of the fourth named storm is not until August 23.  In the Eastern Pacific, Invest 97E has developed into Tropical Depression Seven-E, which has…

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Invest 95L in Atlantic could develop into a weak tropical cyclone near the Windward Islands

Invest 95L in Atlantic could develop into a weak tropical cyclone near the Windward Islands

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A broad area of low pressure located about 900 miles east-southeast of the Windward Islands was designated Invest 95L early Sunday morning by the National Hurricane Center (NHC), and has a medium chance of developing into a tropical depression or tropical storm this week. Forecast for 95L As of 00:00 UTC Monday, Invest 95L was centered near 10.4°N 47.8°W. Maximum sustained winds were estimated at 25 knots (30 mph) with an estimated minimum pressure of 1011 mb. 95L has become slightly better…

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Fernanda weakens slightly, Tropical Storm Talas forms in South China Sea, three areas of interest in Atlantic and East Pacific

Fernanda weakens slightly, Tropical Storm Talas forms in South China Sea, three areas of interest in Atlantic and East Pacific

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Aside from Hurricane Fernanda, which has weakened slightly from yesterday, the global tropics have lit up today with several systems. In the Atlantic, a trough of low pressure has a low chance to develop into a tropical cyclone as it approaches the Windward Islands by Tuesday. In the Western Pacific, Tropical Storm Talas has developed over the South China Sea, and is likely to strengthen slightly over the Gulf of Tonkin tomorrow. In the Eastern Pacific, Invest 97E is likely…

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Fernanda rapidly intensifies as expected, now a Category 4 hurricane in the deep Pacific tropics; 97E may develop

Fernanda rapidly intensifies as expected, now a Category 4 hurricane in the deep Pacific tropics; 97E may develop

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Hurricane Fernanda rapidly intensified last night into today to become the strongest tropical cyclone of 2017 so far in the Northern Hemisphere. Fernanda is now a Category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale – the first of such this year. Fernanda was able to rapidly intensify over very favorable conditions, including light wind shear, a moist environment and very warm sea surface temperatures. Some slight additional intensification is possible before eyewall replacement cycles will likely cause fluctuations in intensity…

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Fernanda becomes a hurricane, expected to rapidly intensify

Fernanda becomes a hurricane, expected to rapidly intensify

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Tropical Storm Fernanda strengthened into the third hurricane of the 2017 Pacific hurricane season Thursday afternoon, and is likely entering a period of rapid intensification in very favorable conditions. Fernanda is expected to become the second major hurricane of the 2017 Pacific hurricane season, and could pose a long-range threat to Hawaii. The Atlantic remains quiet, with no tropical cyclone development expected in the short term. Forecast for Fernanda As of 2:00 p.m. PDT (5:00 p.m. EDT) Thursday, Fernanda was…

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Tropical Storm Fernanda forms in East Pacific, likely to become a strong hurricane

Tropical Storm Fernanda forms in East Pacific, likely to become a strong hurricane

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Tuesday evening, Invest 96E was classified as Tropical Depression Six-E over the Eastern Pacific. Today, Six-E strengthened into Tropical Storm Fernanda, the sixth named storm of the 2017 Pacific hurricane season.  The average formation date of the sixth named storm in the Eastern Pacific is July 30, which means that the start of the 2017 season has been above average. Fernanda is likely to become a hurricane over the open Pacific waters by this weekend as it continues on a…

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Atlantic likely about to become quiet, East Pacific likely to get active with Invest 96E

Atlantic likely about to become quiet, East Pacific likely to get active with Invest 96E

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The area of focus for tropical cyclone activity for the next two weeks (and possibly the rest of the month) is going to be the Eastern Pacific, with Invest 96E a possible long range Hawaii threat. The remnants of Tropical Depression Four have lost organization since yesterday and regeneration has become very unlikely. In addition, Saharan Dust and a Suppressed Kelvin Wave is expected to limit any development of African tropical waves in the near future. East Pacific: Eugene continues…

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Eugene rapidly weakening, Tropical Depression Four still could regenerate, decreasing chance of tropical wave developing

Eugene rapidly weakening, Tropical Depression Four still could regenerate, decreasing chance of tropical wave developing

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Hurricane Eugene in the East Pacific has rapidly weakened today as it has entered a more stable environment with decreasing sea surface temperatures, and is likely going to be downgraded to a tropical storm at the next advisory. In the Atlantic, the remnants of Tropical Depression Four are continuing to be monitored for possible regeneration, and there is still a low, but decreasing, chance that a tropical wave could develop east of the Lesser Antilles. There is now also a…

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Eugene becomes Northern Hemisphere’s first major hurricane of 2017, NHC highlights African wave for possible development 

Eugene becomes Northern Hemisphere’s first major hurricane of 2017, NHC highlights African wave for possible development 

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Sunday morning, Hurricane Eugene rapidly intensified to the first major (category 3+) hurricane of not only the 2017 Pacific hurricane season, but the first of the year in all of the Northern Hemisphere. However, Eugene has almost certainly peaked in intensity, and a weakening trend has likely already begun. Meanwhile, in the Atlantic, the National Hurricane Center (NHC) has mentioned a tropical wave in its tropical weather outlook that could develop by late this week as it approaches the Lesser…

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Eugene near hurricane strength, watching the remnants of TD Four, tropical wave exiting African coast

Eugene near hurricane strength, watching the remnants of TD Four, tropical wave exiting African coast

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Tropical Storm Eugene is very close to becoming the second hurricane of the 2017 Pacific hurricane season. In the Atlantic, the remnants of Tropical Depression Four have a low chance of regenerating into a tropical cyclone, and a tropical wave exiting the coast of Africa will need to be watched for development late next week when it is expected to be near the Lesser Antilles. Eugene expected to be upgraded to a hurricane, could peak at category 2 status Tropical…

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