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Potential Tropical Cyclone One expected to become a tropical storm Friday, bring tropical storm conditions to southern Florida

Potential Tropical Cyclone One expected to become a tropical storm Friday, bring tropical storm conditions to southern Florida

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The National Hurricane Center (NHC) has initiated advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone One (PTC 1), located near the northeastern tip of the Yucatan Peninsula. PTC 1 is expected to become a tropical storm on Friday and make landfall over the southwestern Florida peninsula on Saturday afternoon. After that, PTC 1 is expected to accelerate northeastward with some slight additional intensification possible. Tropical Storm Watches have already been issued for western Cuba, the southern Florida peninsula, and the northwestern Bahamas. The…

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2022 Atlantic hurricane season officially begins with two systems to watch – tropical system likely to affect western Florida this weekend

2022 Atlantic hurricane season officially begins with two systems to watch – tropical system likely to affect western Florida this weekend

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Today is June 1, the official start of the 2022 Atlantic hurricane season. Thus far, no tropical or subtropical cyclones have developed, which marks the first time since 2014 in which a pre-season tropical cyclone did not develop in the Atlantic basin. Regardless, the Atlantic is already showing signs of activity, and the Atlantic’s first named storm (Alex) will likely form late this week. This season will use List 2 of the six naming lists used to name tropical storms…

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Cyclonic Fury’s May 2022 Atlantic hurricane season forecast: potentially well-above average season anticipated

Cyclonic Fury’s May 2022 Atlantic hurricane season forecast: potentially well-above average season anticipated

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The 2022 Atlantic hurricane season officially begins tomorrow. For the first time since 2014, it appears as if we will not see a named storm form prior to the official start of the season. Regardless, environmental conditions appear conducive for the seventh straight above-average Atlantic hurricane season, with a persistent La Nina in place and a continuation of an ongoing active era of Atlantic hurricane activity. Atlantic Sea Surface Temperatures Currently, the overall sea surface temperature anomaly pattern appears favorable…

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Agatha rapidly intensifies into a Category 2 hurricane as it approaches southern Mexico

Agatha rapidly intensifies into a Category 2 hurricane as it approaches southern Mexico

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Tropical Storm Agatha over the eastern Pacific intensified into a hurricane on Sunday morning, and has now rapidly intensified into a high-end Category 2 hurricane as it turns northeastward towards landfall in southern Mexico. Agatha is expected to make landfall tomorrow evening, likely as a major hurricane. Agatha is the first eastern Pacific hurricane to form in May since Andres in 2015. As of 4:00 p.m. CDT (5:00 p.m. EDT), Hurricane Agatha was centered near 14.1°N 98.7°W, and was moving…

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TS Agatha forms over the eastern Pacific, expected to make landfall in southern Mexico as a hurricane

TS Agatha forms over the eastern Pacific, expected to make landfall in southern Mexico as a hurricane

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The first named storm of the 2022 Pacific hurricane season – Agatha – developed Saturday morning southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Agatha is expected to strengthen to a hurricane and make landfall in western Oaxaca Monday evening. Agatha’s remnants could emerge into the Bay of Campeche and will need to be monitored for possible redevelopment in the Gulf of Mexico late next week. As of 10:00 a.m. CDT (11:00 a.m. EDT), Tropical Storm Agatha was centered near 13.2°N 98.4°W,…

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A historically quiet October in the Atlantic, but 94L could develop

A historically quiet October in the Atlantic, but 94L could develop

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After having 20 named storms, the second-most on record through that date, before the start of October, it has been a historically quiet month of October in the Atlantic basin. Thus far, no tropical cyclones have formed in the month of October in the North Atlantic. The last year to have no tropical cyclones to form during the month of October in the Atlantic was 2015, which was a very strong El Niño year. What makes this inactivity even more…

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Sam a powerful Category 4 hurricane, likely to remain a strong hurricane for several days

Sam a powerful Category 4 hurricane, likely to remain a strong hurricane for several days

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Hurricane Sam, the 7th hurricane and 4th major hurricane of the 2021 Atlantic hurricane season, is a strong Category 4 hurricane over the deep tropical Atlantic. Sam is expected to remain a powerful hurricane for several days, and move northwestward away from the Leeward Islands. Sam is then expected to remain well offshore the United States east coast, though Sam could pass close to Bermuda. As of 5:00 p.m. EDT, Hurricane Sam was centered near 14.2°N 50.5°W, and was moving…

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Tropical Storm Sam forms over the central tropical Atlantic, expected to become a strong hurricane

Tropical Storm Sam forms over the central tropical Atlantic, expected to become a strong hurricane

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The Atlantic’s eighteenth named storm of the 2021 Atlantic hurricane season, Tropical Storm Sam, formed over the central tropical Atlantic on Thursday morning. Sam is in a very favorable environment for intensification and is likely to become a major hurricane in a few days. It remains too soon to tell if Sam will affect any land areas. Sam is the second-earliest eighteenth named storm on record in the Atlantic, surpassing Hurricane Rita of 2005 and behind only Hurricane Sally of…

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TS Peter and TS Rose form over the tropical Atlantic, both expected to remain weak and away from land

TS Peter and TS Rose form over the tropical Atlantic, both expected to remain weak and away from land

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Two named storms formed on Sunday, Tropical Storm Peter and Tropical Storm Rose, the 16th and 17th named storms of the 2021 Atlantic hurricane season. Both tropical storms are expected to remain weak and not become hurricanes. Rose’s formation marks the second straight year and only the third time in history in which the “R” named storm formed in the month of September. Early Sunday morning, a long-tracked tropical wave developed into Tropical Storm Peter, the 16th named storm of…

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TS Odette forms off U.S. east coast, likely to quickly become post-tropical

TS Odette forms off U.S. east coast, likely to quickly become post-tropical

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Tropical Storm Odette, the 15th named storm of the 2021 Atlantic hurricane season, was named Friday afternoon by the National Hurricane Center. Odette formed from an area of low pressure off the mid-Atlantic coast of the United States. This is the second time the name “Odette” has been used in the Atlantic basin, with the first occurrence being a rare Caribbean December tropical storm in 2003. As of 5:00 p.m. EDT Friday, Tropical Storm Odette was centered near 36.7°N 71.8°W,…

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