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Invest 92L could become rare June Cabo Verde-type tropical storm

Invest 92L could become rare June Cabo Verde-type tropical storm

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Invest 92L, a tropical wave that exited the coast of Africa 2 days ago, has a high chance to become the Atlantic’s second named storm of the season. 92L is unusual in that it is rare to see tropical cyclogenesis east of the Caribbean in the deep tropics during the month of June. If 92L becomes a tropical storm, it will be named Bret. Coincidentally, the last tropical storm to form in the tropical Atlantic east of the Caribbean during…

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TD Two rapidly forms off the coast of North Carolina, watching Invest 92L and another tropical wave

TD Two rapidly forms off the coast of North Carolina, watching Invest 92L and another tropical wave

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Somewhat unexpectedly, a non-tropical area of low pressure off the United States east coast rapidly developed into Tropical Depression Two – the second tropical cyclone of the 2021 Atlantic hurricane season. In addition to TD Two, two other systems are currently being monitored in the Atlantic for tropical development: Invest 92L over the Bay of Campeche, and an early-season tropical wave over the far eastern tropical Atlantic. Tropical Storm Carlos remains active over the eastern Pacific, but poses no threat…

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Invest 92L expected to develop by Thursday, may pose wind and surge risk for Louisiana

Invest 92L expected to develop by Thursday, may pose wind and surge risk for Louisiana

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Invest 92L has emerged over the northeastern Gulf of Mexico, and is likely to slowly organize into a tropical cyclone over the next day or two. Although the associated shower and thunderstorm activity is currently disorganized, 92L should gradually become better organized over the next few days. Global models have come into better agreement, with most of the recent models predicting that 92L will be a strong tropical storm or low-end hurricane making landfall somewhere in Louisiana on Saturday. However,…

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Invest 92L likely to develop into a tropical storm over the Northern Gulf of Mexico late this week

Invest 92L likely to develop into a tropical storm over the Northern Gulf of Mexico late this week

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It is looking increasingly likely that a tropical cyclone will form over the northern Gulf of Mexico late this week. A broad trough of low pressure, currently centered over central Georgia, is expected to drift southwestward into the northeastern Gulf of Mexico by Wednesday. At that time, environmental conditions appear somewhat conducive for development, and a tropical depression or storm is likely to develop by Friday. This system has been designated Invest 92L while still over land, which is not…

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Florence significantly weaker but expected to restrengthen, 92L and 93L likely to become Helene and Isaac

Florence significantly weaker but expected to restrengthen, 92L and 93L likely to become Helene and Isaac

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Due to strong wind shear, Hurricane Florence has become much less organized today, weakening into a Category 1 hurricane. Florence is likely to fall below hurricane strength tonight or early tomorrow, but is likely to begin restrengthening by Saturday as it enters a more favorable environment. Florence is expected to pass south of Bermuda next Tuesday, though direct impacts are still possible to the small island. It is a possibility that Florence could impact the United States East Coast, though…

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Florence vaults to Category 4 status, Gordon weakening inland, 92L expected to develop

Florence vaults to Category 4 status, Gordon weakening inland, 92L expected to develop

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Somewhat unexpectedly, Hurricane Florence rapidly intensified into the first major hurricane of the 2018 Atlantic hurricane season Wednesday morning, and has since strengthened into a Category 4 hurricane. Last night, Tropical Storm Gordon made landfall near the Alabama-Mississippi border as a strong tropical storm with maximum sustained winds of 70 mph, and has rapidly weakened to a tropical depression today. There is also Invest 92L to watch in the eastern Atlantic, which is likely to become a tropical depression by…

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TS Gordon nearing landfall over the Northern Gulf Coast, Florence now a hurricane over the open Atlantic, 92L expected to develop

TS Gordon nearing landfall over the Northern Gulf Coast, Florence now a hurricane over the open Atlantic, 92L expected to develop

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The Atlantic tropics are very busy today, with Florence becoming the third hurricane of the season, Tropical Storm Gordon nearing landfall near the Alabama-Mississippi border, and two more tropical waves (including Invest 92L) are likely to develop by this weekend. The peak of the season is here, and the Atlantic is likely to remain quite busy for the next couple weeks. Gordon likely to make landfall as a strong tropical storm in a couple hours Tropical Storm Gordon has failed…

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Ophelia becomes the Atlantic’s easternmost major hurricane on record, Invests 92L and 91E may develop

Ophelia becomes the Atlantic’s easternmost major hurricane on record, Invests 92L and 91E may develop

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The 2017 Atlantic hurricane season, so far, has been full of surprises and it managed to pull off another one. On Saturday morning, Ophelia strengthened into a category 3 major hurricane located south-southeast of the Azores. This makes Ophelia the sixth major hurricane of this hyperactive 2017 Atlantic hurricane season (the most since 2005), and the easternmost (but not the northernmost) Atlantic major hurricane on record. Only nine Atlantic hurricane seasons have featured as many or more major hurricanes than…

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It’s over: Hurricane Harvey breaks the 4323-day United States major hurricane landfall drought

It’s over: Hurricane Harvey breaks the 4323-day United States major hurricane landfall drought

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All great things must come to an end. After 4,323 days (nearly 12 years), a major hurricane has once again made landfall in the United States. Hurricane Harvey made landfall between Port Aransas and Port O’Connor, Texas. Harvey made landfall as a category 4 hurricane, with maximum sustained winds of 115 knots (130 mph) and an estimated minimum pressure of 938 mb. As of 10:00 p.m. CDT (11:00 p.m. EDT), Hurricane Harvey was centered near 28.0°N 97.0°W and was moving northwestward…

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Harvey expected to regenerate over the Western Gulf of Mexico, 92L still could develop, Kenneth beginning to weaken

Harvey expected to regenerate over the Western Gulf of Mexico, 92L still could develop, Kenneth beginning to weaken

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The remnants of Tropical Storm Harvey have not become much better organized today, and are unlikely to redevelop into a tropical cyclone prior to crossing the Yucatan Peninsula. However, Harvey’s remnants are expected to emerge into the Bay of Campeche on Wednesday, and are expected to continue on a west-northwestward to northwestward path. Conditions are expected to be favorable for development over the Gulf of Mexico, and Harvey could strike Northern Mexico, Texas, or perhaps even Louisiana as a strong…

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